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Union Berlin vs Ajax Predictions

Published on 9:09am GMT 22 February 2023

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  • Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin
    Ajax
      • BT Sport 6

      Ajax +1

      Reason for tip

      Ajax have won five of their six games under Johnny Heitinga and they look brilliant value to extend that unbeaten run here, albeit against a similarly in-form Union Berlin.

      4/6odds when tipped
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      Draw 1-1

      Reason for tip

      These sides had to settle for a tight and tense draw in the first leg and the return could provide us with much of the same.

      5/1odds when tipped
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      Mohammed Kudus To Score Anytime

      Reason for tip

      Mohamed Kudus has contributed to six goals in seven European appearances this season and comes into this fresh on the back of scoring in the league.

      10/3odds when tipped
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      Union Berlin vs Ajax Predictions

      • Both sides are unbeaten in all competitions since the World Cup break.
      • Ajax have a 60% all-time unbeaten away record to German opponents (W7, D5, L8).
      • Union Berlin are yet to beat a Dutch opponent in Europe (D1, L2).

      Testing the Iron Ones’ mettle

      Although Union failed to pounce on a Bayern Munich mistake in the Bundesliga last weekend, their goalless draw with Schalke saw three sides go joint-top. In fact, that’s the first time that the Bundesliga lead has been shared by so many sides at such a deep stage in the season during the three-points-for-a-win era!

      Union fans may be concerned at their current 198-minute run of play without scoring a goal, but that’s largely down to their incredible backline that has allowed keeper Frederik Ronnow to only make two saves in their back-to-back shutouts.

      Relative newbies to UEFA competitions, this is already the deepest Union have progressed into a continental tournament. Another positive result will keep the dream alive, yet they face tough opponents here, an Ajax side making a competition-record tenth appearance in the knockout phase.

      Ajax won’t feel like underdogs

      Eredivisie title chasers Ajax have flourished under the stewardship of Johnny Heitinga, winning five of their six competitive matches since his appointment (D5, L1). Those wins have seen them enter this second leg all square and within striking distance of the league leaders back home.

      European mainstays Ajax won’t take any notice of their outsider status here given both their pedigree in this competition and their solid all-time record against German opponents on the continental stage (W23, D8, L8). Moreover, Ajax have only lost 40% of their away trips across the border and may be quietly confident of upsetting the odds.

      Given the fine form of both sides and the odds on offer, we think the value lies in siding with Ajax to at least hold out for a draw within 90 minutes, what happens beyond that is anyone’s guess! As such, we’re going for a 1-1 draw in the correct score market and another small stakes selection on Ajax’s Mohamed Kudus scoring a fifth European goal of the season anytime.

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