Athletic Bilbao vs Granada Predictions

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  • San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao

Under 2.5 Match Goals

8/11odds when tipped
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Draw 1-1

7/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • There have been fewer than three goals in 11 of Athletic Bilbao’s 13 Primera Liga games this season.
  • There have been fewer than three goals in five of Granada’s seven away games in La Liga this season.
  • There have been fewer than three goals in four of the last six head-to-head meetings between the clubs.

Goals look scarce in Friday’s La Liga matchup

Goals are likely to be scarce when an Athletic Bilbao side with clear problems in attack take on a Granada team who have become quite resilient on their travels this Friday.

Los Leones have struggled to replace the goals of Aritz Aduriz since his career began to wind down a few seasons ago and, although Raul Garcia bagged 15 in the league two years back, last season’s top scorer, Alex Berenguer, managed only eight. Garcia hasn’t found the back of the net since he bagged his second of the campaign a month ago and is in dire need of a break or someone to help ease the goalscoring burden, but Athletic can’t go out any buy a ready-made poacher.

The pressure has been increasing on coach Marcelino to find a solution, but even substituting all four of his forwards or wingers in the 0-0 draw at Levante had no effect. That stalemate came off the back of a 1-0 home loss to Cadiz in which Athletic produced an xG figure of 0.58.

Granada going in the right direction

Granada are not having much joy in front of goal of late  – although their xG numbers are trending upwards from a very low start.  The underlying stats suggest Nazaries should have claimed at least a draw from their recent 2-0 reverse at Espanyol, which would have made it four out of five unbeaten on the road.

With confidence in Athletic so low, we’re taking an ‘unders’ play here and forecasting a 1-1 draw, which would be the fourth such scoreline in their last eight games.

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