Athletic Bilbao vs Leganes Predictions

• Athletic Bilbao have won nine of their 18 home games.
• Leganes have lost nine of their 18 away games.
• Athletic Bilbao have won three of their last four matches against Leganes.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 78% of Athletic Bilbao’s home games.

Leganes have struggled for wins on the road this season

Athletic Bilbao won 2-1 away at Levante on Sunday while Leganes pinched a 1-0 win at home against Valencia, leaving Thursday’s hosts sitting 7th on 51pts and leaving the visitors in the relegation zone 3pts from safety. Leganes claimed a point at home to Athletic Bilbao back in September, where a Garcia penalty put the visitors in front just before the hour mark but a quick response from Rodriguez saw Leganes draw level just two minutes later.

Leganes have only won one of their last seven matches against Athletic Bilbao and it’s Thursday’s hosts that head into this game as the form favourites with three wins and three defeats from their last six matches. Leganes have lost two, drawn two and won two of their last six league games and really need a positive result from Thursday’s clash as they only have two games left to play this season.

A lot of low-scoring games have been played at the San Mamés Barria

Our prediction for a home win on Thursday carries plenty of weight. Athletic Club have won nine of their 18 home games this season, only losing on five occasions, while Leganes have lost nine games on their travels and have so far only won twice on the road. The hosts average 1.72 points per home game while the visitors only average 0.61 points per away game, suggesting that the most likely result on Thursday is a Bilbao victory.

Athletic Bilbao have won three of their last four matches against Leganes and have outperformed their guests in all departments this season. As for a final scoreline, we’re predicting a 1-0 win for the hosts as they play out many low-scoring matches at home. Athletic Bilbao score an average of 1.17 goals per home game and concede 0.67 goals, with under 2.5 goals being scored in 78% of their 18 home matches this season.

Athletic Bilbao play their best football at home

Under 2.5 goals have also been scored in 72% of Leganes’ away games this season and the visitors only score an average of 0.61 goals per away game and concede an average of 1.39 goals, which ties in neatly with our final scoreline prediction. Athletic Bilbao have kept clean sheets in 44% of their home games this season and Leganes have failed to score in half of their away trips, so there is a good chance we will see the hosts win-to-nil on Thursday.

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