Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

Both teams have exceeded expectations this term but do still have incentives coming into this, their final game. Flamengo are looking to secure 2nd place but will most likely need to bag all 3 points to pip Santos to that given they have a home game with bottom club America Mineiro. Atletico PR meanwhile are looking to book themselves a place in the Copa Libertadores next season and a win will do that for them.

The Curitiba club have had an exceptional season but it has been a very strange one given the huge contrast between their home and away form. They have one of the worst away records in Brazil but also the best home record in the division. They’ve won a stunning 83% of their home games although most of their wins have been slender ones. 39% of their home games have ended in 1-0 wins so they’ve really specialised in keeping things tight at the back, keeping clean sheets in 67% of their home fixtures.

Therefore Flamengo are going to have to work really hard to break them down here. They have only scored 1.17 goals per game on average on their travels which isn’t great for a side that has been challenging for the title so Atletico PR will fancy they can keep another clean sheet here to end the season on a high. Flamengo are strong at the back though too. They have conceded less than a goal per game on average and only two sides have better defensive records than them and one of those is Atletico PR.

As a result this game sees 2 of the best 3 defences in the league meet here and it seems likely we will witness a tight game as a result with one goal perhaps settling it. Therefore backing under 2.5 goals at 9/10 certainly looks to offer value.