Bayern Munich vs Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

• Bayern have won nine of their last 11 home games
• The hosts have scored 51 goals in 16 home clashes this term
• Bayern hit 13 goals across their three home Champions League group games, with Leroy Sane scoring in each
• Salzburg’s last nine trips to German sides in Europe have seen 32 goals scored

First-leg setback for Bayern

Despite being among the favourites for this season’s Champions League, Bayern slipped to a 1-1 draw in their opening knockout game. The German champions needed a late strike to avoid defeat at Salzburg, leaving them with work to do in Bavaria this week.

It hasn’t been plain sailing for Bayern of late, as they’ve won just twice across their last five games. Buoyed by their first leg draw, can Salzburg cause more problems in this trip?

Bayern stellar at home

Travelling to Munich is a daunting task for Salzburg, given that the hosts have won nine of their previous 11 at home. Meanwhile, the visitors were beaten in visits to Wolfsburg and Lille in the group stage.

This is a significantly harder trip, given that Bayern swept all before them in the last round. They scored 22 times across their six wins, including 13 strikes in three home games. Overall this term, Bayern have scored 51 times across their 16 home matches.

While Robert Lewandowski continued his impressive form, Leroy Sane is another clear threat. The winger has had a hand in nine goals in seven Champions League games this term, scoring in all three of their home matches.

Back goals at Allianz

Bayern Munich have won all five of their games in European competition when hosting an Austrian opponent, scoring 15 goals. That includes a 3-1 victory over Salzburg in 2020, so it’s hard to make a case for the visitors pulling off a shock in this one.

Salzburg’s previous nine away games against German opposition have seen a total of 32 goals scored, at an average of 3.6 per game. Given Bayern’s scoring tally in this competition and the fact Salzburg have scored in 10 of their last 11 trips in this competition, I’m backing more goals.

Over 3.5 goals to be scored in this one is my first prediction, while I expect Sane to be amongst them. His fantastic form in Europe – especially at home – suggests he can get in on the act. Given the scoring threat in this Bayern side, I’m going with them to coast to a 4-1 win in my correct score prediction.