Belarus vs Albania Predictions

• Albania have scored ten goals in five Nations League games from an xG of 9.8
• Belarus have won three on the bounce, and they need another win to finish top
• The visitors have conceded in six of their nine games in 2026

Will Belarus overtake the group leaders?

Belarus and Albania wrap up their Nations League campaigns on neutral ground on Sunday evening, vying for first place in the group. Albania are currently top with 12 points from their five matches, but Belarus are only two points shy, and they could leapfrog their opponents with a victory.

Albania claimed a win over Finland on Thursday night, and they were 2-0 victors against Belarus in Tirana back in September. Belarus saw off San Marino this week to record their third straight win, and they have now kept four consecutive clean sheets.

However, Belarus have conceded twice in this group despite facing 4.8 Expected Goals. Albania lead the group both in terms of goals scored (10) and xG created (9.8).

The Red and Blacks will likely consider themselves unlucky not to have already sealed first place. Their sole defeat was a 2-1 loss in Finland, and they posted the stronger underlying numbers despite playing with ten men.

However, Albania have conceded in six of the nine matches they have played in 2026, and Belarus should look to force the issue at some stage, given this is a must-win game for them. As a result, both teams to score appeals, while Albania are backed to claim a 1-1 draw that would see them secure promotion to the second tier.