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Benfica vs Estoril Predictions

  • 18:00
  • Expired
  • Estadio da Luz
Benfica
Estoril

Benfica Under 2.5 Team Goals

8/13odds when tipped
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£16.10
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Benfica 2-0

6/1odds when tipped
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£70.00
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Tip Reasoning

  • Estoril have conceded just 13 goals in 13 away league games this season.
  • Benfica have not scored a third goal in nine of their 13 home league games so far this season, including five of their last six.
  • Estoril have not shipped more than two goals in 11 of their 13 away league games,

Benfica not banker material at home

Benfica might struggle to back up their brilliant away Champions League win over Ajax with another at home to mid-table Estoril on Sunday. The Eagles have been brilliant on their travels all season long, so perhaps it should not have been so much of a surprise that they secured a quarter-final place by grinding down Ajax’s cutting edge on Tuesday.

Nelson Verissimo’s men average 2.46 points and almost three goals per game away from the Luz, but their numbers on home turf have been less impressive. That’s one of the reasons why Estoril, who have avoided defeat in nine of their 13 away league games this term, could spring a surprise this weekend.

The Canaries’ away form has slipped a little during a recent spell of no wins and just two draws from their last five road trips. But they held fifth-placed Gil Vicente to a 0-0 draw at the start of March and followed up with another clean sheet in a 2-0 home win over Portimonense last weekend.

Estoril’s away numbers align to betting angle 

Bruno Pinheiro’s side have conceded just 13 goals in 13 away games this season – fewer than fourth-placed Braga and only a couple more than Benfica have from their ten away wins. Estoril also get rugged defender Raul Silva back from suspension for this one to potentially further stabilise their backline.

Benfica have been inconsistent at home this season, winning only eight of their 13 to date, but the angle to oppose them here is in their goalscoring.  As hosts, they have not scored a third goal in nine of those home league games – including five of their last six.

Estoril’s record of not having shipped more than twice in 11 of their 13 away games should further encourage a bet on fewer than three Benfica goals at around 8/13. The Canaries have failed to score in four of their last five away games, so a 2-0 correct score play seems the best advice.


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