BK Hacken vs Hammarby Predictions

Hacken have enjoyed a pleasing campaign so far; they’ve rarely tasted defeat and are within striking distance of the coveted top three. However, Monday’s hosts come into this match having failed to win either of their last couple, so they’ll be looking to get back on track.

Away form has been somewhat up and down for Hacken, though their efforts at Bravida Arena have been particularly pleasing. They may have lost twice in front of a home crowd, but Andreas Alm’s men can be forgiven for losing against two of the current top four, while they’ve won each of their other four on home soil, scoring seven goals and conceding just one in the process.

Not only have results been largely pleasing for Hacken at home, but Monday’s hosts have generally performed well. They’re averaging an excellent 2.01 expected goals for, while they’ve surrendered an average of only 1.04. Even when losing against Goteborg at home last time out, the hosts created a solid amount, as they posted 1.99 expected goals for. Creating more than their opponents has become a habit for Hacken, who’ve outperformed five of their six opponents in terms of expected goals on home soil this season.

Unlike the hosts at home, Hammarby haven’t exactly thrived on the road, winning just one of their six travelling matches. Not only have Monday’s visitors struggled to get their noses in front away from the comforts of home, but they’ve also found it tough to create more than they’ve given away, as the fact that they’ve been bettered in terms of expected goals in four out of six suggests.

Scoring goals has also been a bit a bit of an issue for Hammarby, who’ve notched an average of only a goal per game on the road. They’ve surrendered an average of 1.83. After they failed to lay a glove on AIK in their most recent away match, posting 0.53 expected goals for and conceding 1.74, Monday’s visitors probably won’t go to Bravida Arena full of confidence.

In the betting, ‘Hacken to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’ stands out. The hosts, who’re averaging 2.01 expected goals for, have offered more than enough at home to seriously hurt a visiting side that has conceded two or more in four of their last five on the road. Add in the fact that Hammarby have struggled to get going against the better teams, posting just 0.53 and 0.27 expected goals for in losing to AIK and Malmo, and the hosts look a good price to notch at least twice on route to victory.