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Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

German Bundesliga | Signal Iduna Park | 17th June
Borussia Dortmund badge
Borussia Dortmund
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
KO 19:30
FSV Mainz 05 badge
FSV Mainz 05
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 predictions for this Wednesday’s Bundesliga action. Borussia Dortmund look to tighten their grasp on second spot against lowly Mainz. Read on for our free betting tips and match preview.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Borussia Dortmund To Win To Nil @ 11/8

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Borussia Dortmund 4-0 @ 12/1

Reason For Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

  • Mainz have lost three of their last five league assignments.
  • Borussia Dortmund have conceded only 11 goals in their 15 home matches in this season’s Bundesliga.
  • Borussia Dortmund’s home league matches have featured an average of 3.8 goals per game this term.

Borussia Dortmund set for strong finish

Borussia Dortmund have won their last three league matches on the spin since their title hopes unravelled with defeat in Der Klassiker and they are unlikely to slip up against a Mainz side in danger of going down.

After tearing through Paderborn in a 6-1 win, Dortmund have won successive league matches to nil against Hertha Berlin and Fortuna Dusseldorf, who they beat thanks to an injury-time strike from Erling Haaland.

Lucien Favre’s men have looked more assured since the pressure to win the title was lifted and have won 12 of their last 14 matches since the start of the Ruckrunde – the second half of the season.

With Haaland, Jadon Sancho, Thorgan Hazard and Julian Brandt to call on in the final third, Borussia Dortmund are a side renowned for their attacking prowess but they tightened up at the back recently too.

Defensive resolve key part of Dortmund’s game

They lost the shot count 9-4 last time out against Dusseldorf, a side in desperate need of goals as they try to stave off the drop, but kept a clean sheet just as they did against a resurgent Hertha Berlin side the week before.

Indeed, eight of Dortmund’s last ten wins in the league have been to nil and they have shut out the likes of Schalke, Freiburg, Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin in recent contests at the Signal Iduna Park.

Even in the clash which all but cost them the league title against Bayern Munich they were breached only once by a delectable Joshua Kimmich chip in a match which could have gone either way.

Dortmund have lost only one of their 15 home assignments in the German top flight this season and have kept more clean sheets (14) than any other Bundesliga outfit.

Therefore a Borussia Dortmund win to nil could be a decent match prediction against the inconsistent visitors.

Mainz lack quality in final third beyond Quaison

Mainz have claimed only one win in their last seven league fixtures and their inability to win away to the likes of lowly Cologne and Union Berlin recently suggests they are unlikely to cause Dortmund too many problems.

They have been heavily reliant on super Swede Robin Quaison, who has scored 12 goals this season with their next highest-scorers in the Bundesliga, Levin Oztunali and Karim Onisiwo, only on four goals each.

Whilst goals have been in short supply going forwards, they have also been leaking them at the back. Mainz have conceded 35 goals in their 15 matches on the road this season.

They have especially struggled to tame the league’s big guns, losing 13-0 on aggregate in their two games with RB Leipzig and 4-0 to Borussia Dortmund in the reverse fixture this season.

Even with the need for points intensifying as they try to battle against relegation, they can be expected to come up short and a comfortable Dortmund win could be on the cards.

Favre’s side have won by a four-goal margin six times this season, enhancing appeal about a 4-0 prediction in the correct score market.

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