CD Alaves vs Villarreal Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

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Alaves
Villarreal

Tip Reasoning

The Monday night game this week in La Liga is unlikely to be a classic, with both sides often opting for a cautious approach that tends to favour low-scoring games.

Villarreal have the best defensive record in La Liga. They’ve conceded just 0.77 goals per game on average this term. Their away defensive record is even better, with just 0.53 goals conceded on average on the road. That has made them very frustrating opponents for teams up and down Spain this season and an Alaves side that lacks creativity and any players really capable of producing a bit of magic, will struggle to break them down.

The Yellow Submarine haven’t really had a convincing striker though, which is the main reason they are still 7 points off the Champions League places. They’ve only scored 1 goal per game away on average, which has also contributed to a huge 80% of their away matches producing under 2.5 goals, while 60% have produced under 1.5 goals.

Alaves home games haven’t been much more exciting. 67% of them have seen under 2.5 goals scored and the Basque side have really struggled to break even the weaker sides down. They appear more comfortable up against sides that attack them, which allows them space to counter with. They’ve lost their last three games to nil so their form isn’t great and even a goal for them would be a bit of a surprise here, given how strong Villarreal are at the back.

However, Alaves should cope pretty well with whatever Villarreal have to throw at them. The Vitoria team have conceded only 1.23 goals per game this term which is the best record in the bottom half and this game really feels like one that might be settled by just the one goal.

Given that, backing Under 2 Goal Line at 2.020 looks to offer value.

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