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Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

  • 14:30
  • Expired
  • Jonathan-Heimes-Stadion
Darmstadt
Borussia Dortmund

Tip Reasoning

Hosts Darmstadt 98 look set for relegation as last weekend’s 2-0 loss at Eintracht Frankfurt extended their worst ever top flight run to ten defeats in eleven (D1 L11) and left them 7 points behind Werder Bremen and safety. Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund look to set things straight in 2017. Last weekend’s much needed 1-0 win at home to surprise title contenders RB Leipzig kept them within the top 4 and extended their run to 8 matches unbeaten (W3 D5) across all competitions.

Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites here at 1/3 with bet365, but we feel there’s better value to be had backing “No Goal before 26:00” at 5/6 for the following reasons: excluding Darmstadt’s 6-1 thrashing at home to Cologne last time out, where the hosts conceded the opening goal in the 32nd minute, the Lillies have put up a number of “respectable” defensive performances at the Jonathan-Heimes-Stadion. Darmstadt should be somewhat “proud” of only losing 1-0 at home to reigning champions Bayern Munich (opening goal in 71st minute) or a 2-0 defeat at home to the in-form RB Leipzig (opening goal in 57th minute). Notably, Darmstadt have conceded none of their 16 goals conceded in the opening half hour (100%). Meanwhile, Dortmund, who are equally as strong as those sides Darmstadt has valiantly kept out in prior home matches, have scored 26 of their 39 goals (66%) after the 30 minute mark.

Regarding a correct score bet, though Dortmund are yet to win “to nil” on the road this season, Thomas Tuchel’s side are much improved in 2017 and the hosts have failed to score in seven of their last ten in the Bundesliga (70%). Given Darmstadt’s relative “defensive stability” at home, we don’t expect them to get thrashed in back-to-back home matches, but we feel Dortmund’s far superior attacking form should clinch them a tidy win here. As such, a 2-0 Borussia Dortmund win at 11/2 is a reasonable shout here.

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