Estonia vs San Marino Predictions

• Estonia’s last four home games have all gone under 2.5 goals
• San Marino have failed to score in their last 16 competitive away matches
• Estonia have kept two clean sheets in their last three home matches

Cosy home win on the cards

Estonia ranked 110^th, are 101 places ahead of their opponents on Thursday in the current FIFA World Rankings and the hosts are expected to make this gulf count. There is little in the way of direct recent form between these two sides, they last met in 2015 when Estonia ran out 2-0 winners in a European Championship qualification match. Estonia rarely disgrace themselves against a much higher level of opposition and have won a game as recently as October. Thursday’s hosts have kept two clean sheets in their last three home games and should have no troubles kicking off their Nations League campaign with a victory.

Expect little goal mouth action

This game looks to have under 3.5 match goals written all over it. San Marino have failed to score in their last 16 competitive away matches. Both teams have failed to score in seven of Estonia’s last eight matches, all seven of which went under 2.5 goals in the match. Whilst Estonia are expected to win on Thursday, it is unlikely to be a wide-margin victory. Estonia last scored more than two goals in a match in October 2020.

Estonia to win an under 3.5 goals in the match will be the main selection for this UEFA Nations League – Group D match in Tallinn. I fancy the hosts to win a shade cosily, but they aren’t a free-scoring side and I expect the visitors to make it tough enough for them. Estonia beat San Marino 2-0 when they last met in 2015 and a repeat of that score line will form the correct score prediction for this one.