Everton vs Burnley Predictions

• Everton have won two of their last 11 home games in all competitions
• The Toffees are winless at home in 2026
• Burnley have avoided defeat in three of their last four away games
• Zian Flemming has scored six of his seven Premier League goals on the road

Home comforts in short supply for Toffees

Everton picked up another impressive result on the road at the weekend, winning 3-2 at Newcastle. Only Arsenal have secured more points on the road than Everton this season, and that impressive return has compensated for their struggles at their new stadium.

Everton have won 16 points from 14 home matches, with only six sides earning fewer. To make matters worse, the Toffees started out by avoiding defeat in their first five matches in their new home. They’ve won only two of their last 11 home games across all competitions, and they’ve failed to earn a home win in 2026.

Clarets are showing some fight

Burnley’s spirited fightback from 3-0 down against Brentford on Saturday ultimately didn’t get them any closer to survival. The Clarets had a potential winner ruled out after they made it 3-3, while they also had another equaliser chalked off in controversial circumstances after Brentford made it 4-3.

Burnley went into Saturday’s game having come from behind to claim a win at Crystal Palace and a draw at Chelsea in their last two games. They’ve failed to really capitalise on their improved displays since the turn of the year, which has left them six points shy of West Ham above them.

However, the visitors have avoided defeat in three of their last four away games. After holding Everton to a 0-0 draw at home in December, a game in which the Clarets were the stronger side, they should take plenty of confidence into this game at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Flemming can strike on the road again

Zian Flemming scored his first Turf Moor goal of the campaign on Saturday, after he drew the Clarets level at 3-3. Before this weekend, the forward had scored his first six league goals across 10 games on the road.

Flemming netted the equaliser at Chelsea in their last trip, while he’s also scored at Wolves, West Ham, Brentford, and Newcastle. He’s now scored in back-to-back starts for Burnley, and he can continue that fine run at Everton this week.