FC Porto vs Casa Pia Predictions

• Porto have won by two goals in just one of their last 11 matches
• Their last home win by two clear goals came back in February
• A +2 handicap would have covered in Casa Pia’s last five, including clashes with Braga and Sporting
• The visitors held Porto to a 0-0 draw in the reverse meeting

Porto’s late flourish

It’s fair to say that Porto are finishing this campaign on a high, having won six straight league games to close the gap to Benfica to just four points. While the Dragons would need their bitter rivals to slip up in two of their final three games to take the title, they can still push the Eagles to the end.

However, Porto’s winning run hasn’t been entirely convincing. The hosts are getting over the line and racking up points, but they aren’t blowing sides away. With a string of narrow wins behind them, Casa Pia head to the Dragao this weekend aiming to keep things close.

Dragons grinding out victories

Across Porto’s last 11 games, they’ve won by more than one goal on just one occasion. They head into this game having won 1-0 in their last two league games, while their last home win by more than one goal came in early February.

While Casa Pia are huge outsiders, they did hold Porto to a 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture. The visitors also come into this one having covered with a +2 handicap in each of their last five, which included slender defeats to two of the top four.

With Porto struggling to rack up big victories, look to Casa Pia with a +2 handicap to frustrate the visitors and push them close. Another slender win for the Dragons is my correct score tip, where I’m backing a 1-0 home win.

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