Finland vs Montenegro Predictions

• Finland have drawn two of their last three games 1-1.
• Three of Montenegro’s last eight away games have finished all square.
• Five of Montenegro’s last eight games have featured fewer than three goals.
• Five of Finland’s last six games have featured fewer than three goals.

Swerve floundering Finns this time 

Finland floundered in the second half against Bosnia-Herzegovina on Saturday and could struggle again when a solid-looking Montenegro side arrive in Helsinki for Tuesday’s Nations League clash. Markku Kanerva’s side were reliant on a 45th-minute penalty to get on the scoresheet at the Olympic Stadium and then saw little of the ball as the Bosnians’ pressing tactics unsettled them after the break.

The Finns are an honest bunch with a bit of quality here and there, but lack the sort of creativity required to break down really stubborn opponents at home – and Montenegro fall into that category right now. Miodrag Radulović has been setting the Brave Falcons up in a 4-4-1-1 formation with an emphasis on pressing – which would seem an ideal approach to take against this Finnish side.

Montenegro benefitted from a shocking piece of defending from Vlad Chiriches to seal their 2-0 home win over Romania last time out, but the tenacity their team showed across the 90 minutes ensured they finished as deserved winners. They could pull off another surprise win in this contest if all goes to plan, but away wins have been eluding this team for some time now and a draw may be the most they can be trusted to get.

Montenegro can nick a draw in tight contest

There probably won’t be many goals either, an assumption reflected in the 4/7 quote about under 2.5 landing in Helsinki. Five of Montenegro’s last eight games have featured fewer than three goals while only one of Finland’s last six games has seen three strikes land, so we feel emboldened to make a draw and under 2.5 goals the main pick.

A 1-1 draw that would be Finland’s third in four matches looks a solid play in correct score betting too as Montenegro rarely score multiple goals away to teams other than Europe’s very worst while they have only conceded more than once in three of their last ten road games.