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Fiorentina vs Hearts Predictions

Published on 4:45pm GMT 13 October 2022

  • 16:45
  • Expired
  • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
Hearts
  • BT Sport 3

Fiorentina To Win To Nil

Reason for tip

Fiorentina have only lost once on home soil this season, despite their inconsistent form, and thrashed Hearts 3-0 last week. The Scottish side, meanwhile, have failed to score in three of their last four European matches, suffering four defeats in their last five continental outings.

8/13odds when tipped
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Fiorentina 2-0

Reason for tip

Only five Serie A teams have allowed opponents fewer expected goals (xGA) than Fiorentina this season, and Hearts may struggle to land a blow after managing just four attempts in last week’s head-to-head meeting at Tynecastle.

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Fiorentina vs Hearts Predictions

  • Fiorentina beat Hearts 3-0 away from home just last week.
  • The Viola have kept clean sheets in each of their last two wins, and none of their last five matches have contained goals at both ends.
  • Hearts have failed to score in three of their last four European ties, losing four of their last five such games.

Viola bid for Conference double

While Fiorentina suffered a demoralising 4-0 Serie A defeat to Lazio on Monday, and have won just two of their last 12 games in all competitions, they had no trouble in seeing off Hearts 3-0 at Tynecastle last week, and are bidding to complete a Europa Conference League double on Thursday. Despite their poor form this season, Vincenzo Italiano’s men have a decent home record, and will be confident of opening up a four-point gap over the Scots in Group A.

Indeed, four of Fiorentina’s five losses this season have come on the road, with Maurizio Sarri’s Biancocelesti becoming the first visitors to win in Firenze this week. Fiorentina’s problems this campaign have come at the sharp end of the pitch; they have failed to score in seven of their last 12 games, but have kept five clean sheets in that run. Meanwhile, just five Serie A teams have conceded fewer expected goals than Fiorentina’s 9.2 xGA this season.

Hearts have taken just three points from their first three games in Group A, suffering heavy back-to-back defeats to Istanbul Basaksehir and Fiorentina (4-0 and 3-0) Robbie Neilson’s side have the fourth-best attacking record in the Scottish Premiership this season, but have struggled to translate that form onto the European stage, failing to score in three of their last four continental matches.

Scots to suffer Heartache

Fiorentina recorded 26 attempts to Hearts’ four during a dominant display last week, and the visitors look unlikely to fare much better in Florence this time around.

While Fiorentina cannot be backed for a big win given their poor attacking form, Hearts’ own struggles in Europe mean the hosts may be worth backing to win to nil, and a 2-0 victory could represent a decent correct score prediction.

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