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Genoa vs SPAL Predictions

Italy Serie A | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris | 12th July
Genoa badge
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
SPAL badge
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Genoa vs SPAL predictions ahead of this Serie A clash on Sunday. Can Genoa boost their survival hopes with a victory over the bottom side? Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Both Teams To Score @ 4/5

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw 1-1 @ 13/2

Reason For Genoa vs SPAL Predictions

  • SPAL have failed to keep a clean sheet in 88% of their away games
  • Genoa have shipped 60 goals already this season, the third-highest in the league
  • 73% of Genoa’s home games have seen both teams find the net
  • The last four meetings between these two have finished 1-1

Battle of the bottom three

Genoa could lose five straight home games for the first time when they face SPAL this weekend. They are in need of a boost when they meet the league’s bottom side, but the good news for the Grifone is that they do tend to do well when it comes to facing off the season’s basement dwellers.

Genoa have only lost one of their last 10 Serie A meetings against sides starting the matchday in the bottom two (W5 D4), against Benevento in May 2018. However, they have drawn the last four such matches. Another three points would help them after slipping into the bottom three in midweek, but could SPAL boost their own fading survival hopes?

Visitors drifting towards second tier

SPAL were beaten again on Thursday, losing 3-0 at home to Udinese to move even closer to Serie B. Their three-year stay in the top-flight is almost over, having fallen nine points shy of safety with only seven games left to play. They head to Genoa this weekend knowing that they need three points, but their record has let them down through the campaign.

The visitors have won only three of 16 matches on their travels so far. Genoa can be confident of breaking their losing streak following that run, while they will expect to take advantage of a SPAL side who have conceded in 88% of their away trips so far. There are only four sides with a worse defence in Serie A this season, but Genoa are among them.

Defensive concerns for both

Genoa have shipped 60 goals already this season, with their post-lockdown schedule bringing plenty of entertainment for the neutral. The hosts have seen both teams score in each of their last seven matches, while 73% of their home games have finished with both teams finding the net. They look too open ahead of this encounter, which should create openings for SPAL. Given that run, we are kicking off our predictions with both teams to score.

Since returning to the top-flight in 2017/18, SPAL are unbeaten against Genoa (W1 D4). Each of those draws have come in the previous four meetings between the sides, with each of them finishing 1-1. Following that string of draws, we’re backing another 1-1 draw between the pair in our correct score prediction.

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