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Georgia vs Kazakhstan Predictions

  • 17:00
  • Expired
  • Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

The Kazakhs may have failed to get the better of Latvia on home soil last time out, but they were not beaten, which means that it’s now four games since they tasted defeat. Just a point is all the visitors need to finish second, so they ought to come into this match in high spirits.

Even though they’ve dominated this group and have secured top spot, the Georgians will have been gutted about failing to beat an Andorran side that had accumulated just 0.33 expected goals in four matches, though they ought to fancy themselves to do better now back on their own patch.

If the Georgians choose to disregard this fixture, then they could easily come unstuck against a Kazakhstan side that has been best of the rest in this group, though if they’re looking to end the group on the front foot, then Vladimír Weiss’ men can resume winning ways.

From a performances point of view, playing in League D has certainly suited Georgia, who’ve dominated right from the word go. Monday’s hosts have scored an impressive ten goals, have conceded just one and currently have a very respectable average expected goal difference of +1.0.

In addition, in the reverse fixture, Weiss’ men kept Monday’s opponents at bay without too much of a fuss, while they had the quality in the offensive third to come out on top. A similar performance on this occasion would almost definitely see the Georgians record their fifth win since the competition began.

Overall, Kazakhstan will be pleased with how they’ve done in this group, though they didn’t look too clever in the reverse of this fixture, while they’ve not been the same side when playing on the road. Like Georgia, Stanimir Stoilov’s drew 1-1 away in Andorra, though the Kazakhs failed to dominate like quite as much as Georgia, which doesn’t exactly bode well. If they can’t make their presence felt against the weakest side in the group, one that has an average expected goal difference of -0.56 at home, then they’re likely to make little headway against a side with an average expected goal difference of +1.07 on their own patch.

To be quite honest, Georgia are a good bit better than their guests; they’ve offered more in the final third, which can make all the difference when two reasonably astute defensive sides go head-to-head. With an average of 1.59 expected goals for on their own patch, the hosts are backed to get the better of a visiting team that has struggled to get going on their travels.

Given that they’re yet to concede a goal at home in this competition, coupled with the fact that their opponents clocked just 0.31 expected goals for in the reverse fixture, the bet that stands out is ‘Georgia to Win to Nil’.

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