Independiente del Valle vs Guarani Betting Tips

Home advantage is going to be key in this tie with altitude playing a factor in the 1st Leg and certainly suiting the side from Ecuador but Guarani will feel that if they can get a result or even a single goal defeat, they’ll have every chance in the return next week.

Independiente are unbeaten at home in this competition, winning 2 and drawing 2 at the Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos. That includes a 1-0 win at this stage last year against Argentina’s Estudiantes but they were beaten 4-0 in the 2nd leg away from home to exit the competition before the group phases.

This should be a slightly easier tie on paper and they will be expecting to win the 1st Leg for sure. They are unbeaten in 8 matches at home in all competitions, winning 4 of the last 5 and scoring 2 or more goals in all of those games. At 4/6 certainly a home win here looks a good shout.

Guarani have lost their last 3 league matches in Paraguay and were surprisingly beaten 3-0 at home by Deportivo Capiatá only last week. They did though have a brilliant run in this competition last year though when they made it all the way to the Semi-Finals knocking out Corinthians and Racing before losing in the last four against eventual winners River Plate.

They did only win one away match though in that run and their overall away record in this competition reads one win in 16 matches on the road with 10 of those games ending in defeat.

With their current lack of form this could be a tough examination for Guarani and they may have their work cut out to even make the group stage this year after their heroics last season. Home advantage will be huge for Independiente here and they might be worth a punt at 6/1 to win this 2-0.