Mallorca vs Almeria Predictions

Mallorca have positioned themselves inside the top six, which is an excellent place to be, though their work is far from done. Sunday’s hosts need to continue collecting points to ensure that they cement their play-off place while if they could go on a winning run, then the top two may not be beyond them. Similarly, Almeria need to win to have any chance of breaking into the play-off places.

Home is certainly where the heart is for Mallorca, who’ve been excellent on their own patch this season. Only Osasuna, who look shoo-ins for the title, have taken more points at home than Mallorca, who’re the highest scorers in the division at home.

Vicente Moreno’s men have won 14, drawn three and lost just two of their 19 matches at Iberostar Stadium, while their recent form has been especially pleasing. They’ve won each of their last four at home and are now unbeaten in nine, eight of which they’ve won. On their own patch, they’ve scored a very pleasing average of 1.78 goals, while they also average 1.68 expected goals for. At the other end of proceedings, Sunday’s hosts have conceded an average of just 0.61 goals and 0.85 expected goals.

Frankly, Mallorca have made light work of both creating chances and keeping their opponents quiet. On the road, Almeria haven’t given an amazing amount away, but they’ve certainly found it tough to get going offensively. Sunday’s visitors have scored only 19 goals away from home this season, which averages out as just a goal per game. They’ve also done a much worse job of creating more than they’ve conceded on their travels, as they boast an average expected goal difference of +0.11.  In contrast, Mallorca’s is +0.83 at home.

From a betting point of view, ‘Mallorca to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ stands out. The hosts have bettered Almeria in all areas, especially at the back, where they’ve given next to nothing away, keeping three clean sheets in their last five at home, though the visitors, who’ve conceded more than once in just two of their last five on the road, haven’t often crumbled away from home, so backing the hosts to win without going mad may just be the best option.