Monagas vs Gremio Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

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Monagas
Gremio

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

Wednesday’s Copa Libertadores action sees Venezuelans Monagas looking to cause an upset against a heavily rotated Gremio side. Anything but a win would see the hosts all but out of the competition.

Monagas had been struggling massively in what is their first ever continental campaign, but managed to get themselves off the mark with a win over Uruguayans Defensor Sporting in the group’s last round of fixtures, ending a run of three straight defeats with the hard-fought 1-0 triumph.

Los Guerreros del Guarapiche are still likely to crash out but have given themselves a glimmer of hope, as well as a more realistic shot at snatching third place and the Copa Sudamericana fall back it brings. Jhonny Ferreira’s men arrive off the back of success at the weekend, seeing off Metropolitanos in domestic action and whilst they’re far from flying in domestic action, a run of 5 matches unbeaten at home across all competitions certainly provides confidence coming into this one.

Meanwhile, amidst a back schedule and arriving off the back of an intense derby with rivals Internacional at the weekend, Gremio boss Renato Gaucho has left most of his main men back at home in Brazil to recuperate. Last season’s Libertadores winners are gunning for success on all fronts this season and are currently holding very strong position in the group, having viewed the fixtures as a chance to rotate.

That’s not to say there’s nothing riding on the game for Tricolor, as they’re still not assured of their place in the knockout round, but after picking up 8 points from the opening 4 games, they’re all but through and have a home fixture with Defensor to come nonetheless. A win would mathematically put the Brazilians through, but they may well face more of a challenge in obtaining it than the odds would suggest.

Ultimately, this is still a David v Goliath encounter, irrespective of the Gremio changes, but on this occasion, David may well have more of a chance than in the previous game between the two, which Gremio won 4-0.

Monagas are in improving form, having shown reasonably strong home performances in recent weeks and put in by far their best performance in the competition in their win over Defensor. Gremio may well have underestimated their opponents here and whilst they’re rightfully still the favourites to win the game, a play on Monagas causing an upset does appeal at such a huge price, and thus we’re backing them on the Draw No Bet here, with another 1-0 home win not entirely out of the question.

Travelling to Venezuela is far from an easy task in the current climate, and doing it in an under strength manner could be a gamble that backfires on the visitors.

Monagas possible starting XI: Baroja; González, Trejo, Lencinas, Romero; García, Palacios, Suárez; González, Jhonder Cádiz, Rojas.

Gremio possible starting XI: Grohe; Madson, Geromel, Kannemann, Bruno Cortez; Jailson, Michel, Ramiro, Cícero, Alisson; Thonny Anderson

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