Napoli vs Fiorentina Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

The Coppa Italia quarter finals get under way on Wednesday night, and they start off with a huge tie between Napoli and Fiorentina. This promises to be a fascinating clash, with la Viola improving of late. They’ve now won three matches in a row in Serie A, including a victory over Juventus. Meanwhile, Napoli are one of the most in form sides in the league.

Napoli have won every match since their 3-3 draw with Fiorentina in their final match of 2016. That was a thrilling encounter, with some really high quality goals. Since then they’ve put in some excellent displays, establishing themselves as the highest scoring side in Italy’s top flight. The Partenopei are pitting that strong record against a team who are awful at the back on their travels.

Fiorentina have conceded 68% of their league goals on the road this season, letting in 1.7 goals per outing. They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in 70% of their matches on the road. Meanwhile, Napoli have find the net 2.24 times per game at the San Paolo. They’ve also won 73% of matches at their own ground in Serie A, while they’ve won five straight here. The Partenopei should continue that run here, with la Viola losing 50% of their away league trips.

Napoli come in to this game having scored twice or more in seven straight league matches, while they’ve scored two or more in 72% of matches at the San Paolo. There’s little question about their ability to rack up goals, and they should have too much for Fiorentina here. While the hosts are heavy favourites to book a semi-final place, can they get through 90 minutes without conceding?

So far this season, 73% of matches at the San Paolo have seen both teams score. Fiorentina have found the net in 90% of their away games in the league, while they’ve scored in 10 of their last 11 away in all competitions. Napoli may have won four straight in 2017, but they’ve conceded in all of those. We see that run continuing here, as we’re backing a home win and both teams to score, which is priced at 9/4 with bet365.