Netherlands vs Gibraltar Predictions

• Gibraltar’s last eight away games have all been defeats that went over 3.5 goals.
• Gibraltar have lost four of their last five away games without being able to find the net.
• Netherlands have scored 13 goals in two meetings with Gibraltar.

Bouncing back from humiliation

The Netherlands’ qualification effort got off to the worst possible start as they were humbled 4-0 by France in what was Ronald Koeman’s first game in charge during his second stint at the helm. Koeman didn’t mince his words in the aftermath as he blasted his side’s performance, but luckily for him, they’re offered an immediate chance for redemption.

Priced up as short as 1/100 for the win here, anything short of a resounding Dutch success against the smallest UEFA nation by population would be the biggest footballing story of 2023 so far. Gibraltar have lost every one of their 19 European qualifiers to date, scoring just five goals and conceding a ludicrous 90 times.

That’s an average of 4.7 goals conceded per European qualifier and that’s considering games against nations with much lesser quality than that of the Dutch, a side rattled by France but still amongst the best footballing nations in the world.

Go for goals in a tough market

Finding value in this encounter is a tough ask indeed, there’s simply no way you can back the Dutch in the handicaps, win to nil, or correct score markets without a huge risk factor attached for relatively short prices.

On the other hand, it wouldn’t make sense to tip up anything in Gibraltar’s favour given their woeful record and meagre 32,000 population. Specifically watch out for Memphis Depay, he has scored four goals in just two personal meetings, despite the fact that he also missed a penalty!

We’re going for over 5.5 match goals, a selection which matches up with the two prior H2Hs that saw the Dutch win 6-0 and 7-0 respectively, the latter of which will make up our correct score prediction for smaller stakes.