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Paderborn vs Schalke predictions for this weekend’s German Bundesliga. David Wagner will hope his Schalke side can build on their last performance when they take on Paderborn at the Benteler-Arena on Sunday. Read on for our free betting tips and match preview.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 29/20

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Schalke 1-0 @ 11/1

Reason For Paderborn vs Schalke Predictions

No team has had more of a rollercoaster few years than Paderborn, who are back in the German top-flight for the first time since 2015 – they went all the way to the 3. Liga and back in that time! And the ride hasn’t slowed down since returning to the Bundesliga. Paderborn were on the wrong side of the second-highest scoring game on matchday 1 (3-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen) and they also failed to hold on to a 1-0 lead against Freiburg in their first home game of the season after that (3-1 defeat).

Paderborn did, however, apply the breaks in their last outing before the international break, where they managed to take a 1-1 draw away from top six candidates Wolfsburg. Summer-signed Streli Mamba assisted the goal in that game and has done well to make the transition from the 3. Liga to the German top flight, having scored two goals in three games before that. Coach Steffan Baumgart will be hoping for more from him on Sunday.

On the other side of the pitch is former Huddersfield Town manager David Wagner, who has been tasked with the huge rebuilding project at Schalke after last season’s 14th-place finish. His latest adventure has started well enough, having earned four points from three games, with only a defeat away to Bayern Munich being the only (somewhat expected) hiccup.

You could argue the international break came at a bad time for him. His side finally found the right gear in their last outing against Hertha Berlin, where they took all three points in a comprehensive 3-0 win. Everton-loanee Jonjoe Kenny opening Schalke’s account with his maiden Bundesliga goal and helped them on their way to another shutout. However, with the other two being own goals, there’s still some work to do in terms of attack.

Given the unknowns brought in by two new managers, it’s tricky to pin down any significant statistical trends for betting, but one thing that does look likely going off both sides’ opening games is that this doesn’t have the potential to be a particularly high-scoring clash. Neither side has been that impressive going forward over their opening three matches, with Paderborn and Schalke both averaging roughly 1 goal per game on xG (expected goals).

Schalke’s squad has a lot of defensive quality to it as well and we should expect a defence-minded boss like David Wagner to get the best out of his back-line – Schalke have kept a clean sheet in two of the three games under his leadership and in four of their last six Bundesliga outings overall. This leans things even more towards a low-scoring game, given that Paderborn are man-for-man one of the weakest teams in the league.

Notably, Schalke (16th) and Paderborn (13th) are two sides among those with the fewest shots on goal so far in the 2019/20 season too. Hence, expecting more than a goal from either side seems unreasonable. With Schalke showing more promise and having the strength to control the game, we do expect them to clinch it – they have won both their prior meetings with Paderborn too. Our prediction: 1-0 Schalke.

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Article by: Tom L
Twitter: @thomaslumb19
Published: September 14, 2019

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

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