Portimonese vs Tondela Predictions

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  • Sat 1 Feb

      Tondela Double Chance (Win or Draw)

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      Draw 1-1

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      Tip Reasoning

      • Tondela have picked up 4 wins and 2 draws from their 9 away games in the Primeira Liga.
      • Portimonense have only won 1 of their 8 home games in the league.
      • The hosts are without a win in their last 7 competitive matches.
      • Portimonense have drawn 50% of their home games in the Primeira Liga.

      Tondela have performed better away from home this season

      Portimonense lost 2-1 away at fellow relegation battlers Belenenses last weekend, while Tondela suffered a 3-0 defeat at home to Vitoria Setubal meaning the gap between Saturday’s opponents remains at 6pts. Both teams have struggled for wins of late but Tondela head into the match as the slight form favourites with one win and two draws from their last six league games.

      Portimonense average 0.88 points per home game in the league this season while Tondela average 1.56 points per away game and have played much better on the road than they have in their own backyard. The hosts score an average of 0.88 goals per home game and concede 1.25 goals while Tondela score and concede an average of 1.33 goals per away game, which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 1-1 this weekend.

      Over 2.5 goals have been produced in just 38% of Portimonense’s home games and 62% have seen both teams score, adding further weight to our prediction for a 1-1 draw on Saturday. 44% of Tondela’s away games have seen both teams score and 56% have produced over 2.5 goals, so if the visitors do go on to win this weekend then there is a decent chance it will be via two goals to one.

      Portimonense have just one home win to their name so far

      The hosts have only scored 7-goals at home this season while the visitors have netted 12 times on the road, with an average of 2.13 total goals being scored in Portimonense’s home games which backs our prediction of 2-goals being scored in Saturday’s clash. Portimonense’s have only kept clean sheets in 25% of their home games and none of those matches have ended in victory, and Tondela have kept clean sheets in 33% of their away games which is why we are confident that both teams will score this weekend.

      Exactly 2-goals have been scored in a quarter of Portimonense’s home games and we have backed that same total to be produced on Saturday, but a majority of Tondela’s wins this season (4) have been obtained with a 1-goal margin and Portimonense have conceded four 1-goal margin defeats, so a win for the visitors is likely to be via the narrowest of margins.

      We’re confident that a double chance bet on Tondela has the best chance of paying out this weekend and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-1. The visitors play their best football on the road and will fancy their chance against a Portimonense side that have only managed to secure one win at home so far this season.

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