Solihull Moors vs Eastleigh Predictions

Things had been going swimmingly for Solihull, who prior to Saturday’s game against Woking had won four on the bounce, though they came unstuck last time out, losing by two goals to nil. Boss Tim Flowers will be hoping that the return to Damson Park sparks a return to winning ways for the Moors.

National League top scorers Solihull were beaten at the weekend, but that was away from home. Now back on their own patch, the side that currently sit in a lofty 3^rd position should fancy themselves to bounce back.

At Damson Park, Solihull have been very effective this season, as they’ve won three out of three, scoring seven and conceding only two in the process. Not only have Monday’s hosts impressed in terms of goals scored, but they’ve also posted some encouraging expected goals for numbers, creating an average of 1.55 in front of their own fans. However, despite what results perhaps suggest, Solihull haven’t looked great at the back. They’ve conceded just two goals at home this term, though they’ve kept just one clean sheet and have surrendered an average of 1.44 expected goals.

Fortunately for the hosts, they’re up against an Eastleigh side that has been struggling to make offensive headway on the road. Not only have Monday’s visitors lost each of their three travelling matches this term, but they’ve failed to score a goal away from the comforts of home, as they’ve lost 1-0, 2-0 and 2-0. Furthermore, if not scoring wasn’t bad enough, Eastleigh have been poor in terms of creativity, averaging only 0.75 expected goals for.

Frankly, Ben Strevens’ men haven’t done enough going forward on their travels, though their overall defensive efforts have been slightly better than the bare form would suggest, or rather they’ve done a better job of preventing their opponents from creating than results would have us believe. Eastleigh may have shipped five goals in three away games, but they’ve surrendered an average of just 0.56 expected goals, which is very respectable. If such an underlying figure is maintained, then Monday’s visitors should soon start to concede fewer goals.

In the betting, ‘Solihull to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ catches the eye. The visitors have struggled away from home, make no mistake about that, and their lack of forward power should once again cost them. However, they’ve not given a great deal away, so for all Solihull, who’re averaging 0.80 more expected goals for at home than Eastleigh are on the road, have the quality to get the job done, they shouldn’t be expected to run riot.