Spezia vs Sassuolo Predictions

• Eight of Spezia’s last nine competitive games have contained over 2.5 goals.
• Sassuolo, meanwhile, have seen three or more goals scored in 11 of their last 14 matches.
• Only two Serie A sides have allowed more shots or expected goals against (xGA) than Spezia in their first two games of the season.

Goals expected in Liguria

Both Spezia and Sassuolo have started the Serie A season with one win and one draw, and goals look likely to be the order of the day when they meet in Liguria on Saturday. Indeed, Spezia shipped 71 Serie A goals last season, and were fortunate to escape with a 3-0 defeat at Inter last time out, while Sassuolo have maintained their aggressive style and look likely to entertain again this season.

Spezia have seen over 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last nine competitive games, conceding 20 goals in their last eight league matches, and their underlying stats across the first two games of the season are not impressive either. Indeed, only two Serie A teams, both of them newly promoted, have conceded more shots or expected goals than Spezia in their first two matches of the campaign.

Sassuolo, meanwhile, have lost several key attacking figures including Gianluca Scamacca and Giacomo Raspadori this summer, but Alessio Dionisi’s men have preserved their high-octane style. 11 of the last 14 matches featuring the Neroverdi have contained over 2.5 goals, and they have conceded three goals on two occasions already this campaign, including at Serie B outfit Modena in the Coppa Italia.

Porous defences should provide goals

Backing over 2.5 goals to be scored looks a strong bet when two porous defences meet on Saturday, as Luca Gotti attempts to implement a more attacking style after taking the reigns at Spezia.

Meanwhile, the Neroverdi have only won one of their last seven away games in all competitions, meaning a repeat of the sides’ 2-2 draw last December could offer value for correct score punters.

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