Vitoria Guimaraes vs Tondela Predictions

• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two clubs.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 4 o Tondela’s last 6 matches.
• Vitoria Guimaraes have only won 2 of their last 6 matches.
• Tondela have picked up as many points on the road as Vitoria Guimaraes have in their own backyard.

Tondela perform much better on the road than they do in their own backyard

Guimaraes won 2-0 away at bottom of the table Aves last time out while Tondela got beat at home 2-1 by Rio Ave, meaning the gap between the two clubs was increased to 7pts. The hosts do head into Sunday’s clash as the form favourites, despite losing four of their last six matches and only winning two, as Tondela have lost three, drawn two and only won one of their last six outings which means they have earned one point fewer during that period.

The majority of the recent encounters between these two clubs have been low-scoring, with five of their last seven meetings in all competitions producing under 2.5 goals. Four of Tondela’s last six matches have also seen fewer than 3-goals scored, so you can start to understand just why we have backed under 2.5 goals to be scored in Sunday’s match.

We’re expecting a close and competitive ninety minutes between these two clubs as Guimaraes have won five, drawn two, and lost four at home this season while Tondela have won five, drawn two, and lost four on the road, which means both sides average 1.55 points in those games. Guimaraes score an average of 1.64 goals per home game while Tondela score an average of 1.18 goals per away game, and we have backed the pair to play out a 1-1 draw this weekend.

Both teams are struggling for form heading into Sunday’s clash

Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 64% of Guimaraes’ away games in the Primeira Liga and 55% of Tondela#s trips on the road, adding further weight to our prediction for a 1-1 draw between the pair this Sunday. Guimaraes have only kept clean sheets in 36% of their home games and Tondela have kept their opponents from scoring in 36% of their away games this season, so there is a decent chance we will see both teams score this weekend.

Exactly 2-goals have been scored in 36% of Guimaraes’ home games this season, which is a majority, and we have backed that same total of goals to be produced on Sunday. 71% of Tondela’s points this season have been earned away from home, which is why we have backed Sunday’s match to end all square, despite Guimaraes outperforming Tondela in most departments this season.

We’re confident that under 2.5 goals will be scored on Sunday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-1 between the two clubs. Tondela pick up the majority of their points on the road and will be confident of adding to their tally on Sunday when they take on a Guimaraes side that have only won two of their last six matches, both of which were away from home.