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Estonia vs Finland predictions and betting tips for Friday evening’s Nations League match. Estonia have struggled in recent times and host an in-form Finland side who defeated Estonia in their most recent game. Read on for all our predictions and betting tips.


Reason For Estonia vs Finland Betting Tips

It has been a largely torrid 2018 for the Estonian national team, who started off with promise but have quickly faded and are now in a rut of four straight defeats.

Draws against Sweden, in an official friendly, and Armenia away from home in their opening fixtures suggested that Estonia could fight for positive results, especially given Sweden’s quality. Moreover, a 2-0 win against Lithuania in the Baltic Cup in their fourth game of the year further raised expectations that this team had the ability to win the games against lesser teams and hold out against better ones.

However, apart from those games, Estonia have lost almost every match. A 2-0 away defeat was coupled with a loss to Latvia in the Baltic Cup. Furthermore, the team went on to lose 3-1 at home to Morocco to diminish any optimism the team had about progression this year. The situation did not improve in the last round of Nations League fixtures. They lost 1-0 at home to Greece, being dominated for most of the match and saved by some poor Greek finishing, as well as some decent saves from goalkeeper Mihkel Aksalu.

Estonia’s second Nations League match was against their opponents today, Finland. Once more, they lost 1-0 thanks to an early goal from Norwich striker Teemu Pukki. Whilst proceedings were more even than the match against Greece, Finland could easily have added to their total and hit the woodwork. Despite this, Finland held on for the win to condemn Estonia to their fifth defeat in six games.

In contrast, Finland look to be in great form, having won four of their last five matches. Comfortable friendly wins against Malta and Belarus, albeit in the middle of a defeat by Romania, gave them some momentum coming into these Nations League fixtures.

They won their first match 1-0 against Hungary, with yet another early goal from Pukki setting them on their way to victory. They were pegged back for most of the match, facing 16 attempts on goal throughout the match but it is testament to their character that they were able to hang on for the win. In addition, in goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky, of German club Bayer Leverkusen, they have a top-class player who can keep Finland in matches.

Finland are now favourites to top the group and have momentum in their favour, with some players in great form for club coming into this match and will fancy their chances to beat an Estonian side low on confidence. We think they will manage it, with backing Finland to win holding some great value. In terms of a correct-score, Estonia look devoid of attacking confidence and are coming up against a great shot-stopper in Hradecky, so a comfortable 2-0 win for Finland looks appropriate for this game.

Head to Head

On top of the win Finland gained over Estonia in the first round of Nations League fixtures, the country has also edged past meetings. These sides have met six times over the past 13 years, with Finland winning three times, Estonia winning twice, and one draw.

Estonia Team News

Estonia Team Badge None of Estonia's current squad play in top European leagues, although midfielder Sander Puri does play for Irish club Waterford. Former Liverpool defender and national team captain Ragnar Klavan has been left out of the squad, as have a number of other players with over 100 caps, like fellow defenders Enar Jaager and Dmitri Kruglov.

Finland Team News

Finland Team Badge Bayer Leverkusen goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky has been named in the squad, as has Reading keeper Anssi Jaakkola. In-form Norwich striker Teemu Pukki has also been called up, with the hope that he can score the winner in three consecutive Nations League matches.

Next Fixtures To Kick Off


Estonia vs Finland Stats

  • Estonia have scored three goals in their last seven internationals, with two coming in a 2-0 win against Lithuania in May 2018.
  • Finland have kept eight clean sheets in their last 12 internationals and have kept three consecutive ones in their most recent matches.
  • Furthermore, Finland have only lost once during this run, to Romania in June 2018, winning eight.
  • 16 of Estonia’s last 20 home internationals have only seen one team score.
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Article by: Matthew P
Published: October 11, 2018

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