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Before becoming a Sports Journalist for Free Super Tips, Aaron spent three years studying Sports Journalism at the University of Sunderland while taking in the Black Cats' 'glory years' under Martin O'Neill. Now back in Northern Ireland he turns niche stats into predictions for FST, while he's one of the few people on this island who is equally comfortable at Windsor Park and the Aviva.
Thomas Frank’s departure and Arsenal’s woes at Wolves have set up a tantalising North London Derby on Sunday. Despite being at opposite ends of the table, either side can pile on the other’s misery this weekend.
This clash rarely disappoints in terms of cards and fouls, so I’ve built a 46/1 Ultimate Bet Builder around those markets.
Tottenham vs Arsenal Ultimate Bet Builder
Martin Zubimendi to be carded
Zubimendi has picked up seven bookings for Arsenal this term, and the midfielder has a track record of cautions in key games. He has been booked in visits to Liverpool and Chelsea this term, while the former Real Sociedad midfielder was cautioned in the Gunners’ visit to Sociedad’s bitter rivals Athletic Bilbao earlier this term.
Zubimendi saw 23 La Liga cautions across his last three seasons in Spain, and he’ll match up with Spurs’ leading foul drawer, Xavi Simons.
Pape Matar Sarr to be carded
Sarr has had a stop-start season this term, but the midfielder looks like a good match for Igor Tudor’s approach, while Spurs are already lacking numbers in midfield. Sarr was booked in his start against Newcastle last time out, which was his first caution of the campaign.
However, Sarr was shown 15 yellow cards across the last two Premier League campaigns. He has already been shown three bookings against Arsenal in his career, and the increased intensity that Tudor will bring suggests that Spurs’ midfield will be foul-heavy.
Conor Gallagher to have 5+ foul involvements
Gallagher’s five Premier League appearances for Tottenham have been all-action, with the former Chelsea midfielder being involved in a combined 21 fouls. He’s been at least twice in every game he has played for his new club, while he’s committed seven fouls across meetings with Man City, Man United, and Newcastle in Tottenham’s last three league outings.
Gallagher averaged 4.23 combined fouls made and won in his last Premier League campaign with Chelsea. Given the increased pressure on this game, Gallagher is backed to be involved in five or more fouls.
Radu Dragusin to commit 2+ fouls
With Romero suspended and Tudor expected to switch to a three-at-the-back setup, Dragusin should feature on Sunday. The Romanian made just his second start of the season against Newcastle last time out, finishing that game with three fouls to his name.
Dragusin is expected to start once again, and he’ll feature for a Spurs side who are likely to come under heavy pressure in this clash.
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