US PGA Championship: 16/1, 18/1, 33/1 and 100/1 tips

The second Major of the season takes place at Quail Hollow Club in North Carolina as the best of the best bid to win the US PGA Championship.

As was the case at the Masters, Grand Slam-winning Rory McIlroy and world No.1 Scottie Scheffler dominate the betting, but Racing & Football Outlook golf expert Joe Champion – who picked out Patrick Reed as an each-way winner at 66/1 at Augusta – is looking elsewhere for value.

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US PGA Championship Outright Selections

Justin Thomas each-way at 16/1

A par-71 layout measuring exactly 7,600 total yards, Quail Hollow has always played into the hands of longer hitters and that should help two-time PGA champion Justin Thomas to bring up his hat-trick at the venue where he was successful in 2017.

After finishing runner-up at the Valspar Championship, Thomas looked a lively runner at the Masters but his preparation was hampered by a late caddie switch after Matt Minister suffered a back injury.

While he never recovered from a sluggish start at Augusta, where he finished 36th, Thomas returned to winning ways the following week with temporary looper Joe Greiner – now working with Collin Morikawa – on the bag, claiming the title at the RBC Heritage.

Minister returned at the Truist last week, helping his boss to second place behind Sepp Straka. All areas of the game were firing in Philadelphia as Thomas shot four consistent rounds of 66-67-66-67 to ensure he will return to Quail Hollow full of confidence.

Thomas is long enough off the tee to cope with the demands of the Charlotte venue, he is striking his irons with his trademark zest, and, perhaps most crucially, his putting has arguably been better than ever this year. He is particularly fond of the Bermuda greens he will encounter in North Carolina.

Xander Schauffele each-way at 18/1

While others have more recent wins to their names, defending US PGA champion Xander Schauffele has been playing himself steadily back into form and he also looks a tantalising each-way price at a venue where he has excelled.

After two months off with a rib injury, the Californian has worked his way close to his best, no doubt with the Majors in mind, finishing 12th at the Valspar, eighth at the Masters, 18th at the Heritage, and 11th at the Truist.

He missed the cut as a young gun in the 2017 US PGA at Quail Hollow but he finished runner-up in the 2023 and 2024 editions of the Wells Fargo Championship, showcasing his ability to cope with the course.

Having claimed two Majors wins last year, he could make a mockery of his price.

US PGA Championship Outsider Selections

Tommy Fleetwood each-way at 33/1

Englishman Tommy Fleetwood has form figures of 14-5-13 from his last course starts and his ultra-consistent form – 18 top-25 finishes from his last 19 starts – means that he should again figure on the PGA leaderboard.

Fleetwood, who birded the 72nd hole on Sunday to share fourth place at the Truist – his best finish of the year – stuck around to congratulate his close friend McIlroy at the Masters last month.

He will be desperate not only to emulate the Northern Irishman, but also to continue the success of his Ryder Cup colleagues Straka (twice), Aberg and Viktor Hovland, all of whom have won on the PGA Tour this year. He’s playing well enough to do so.

Sam Burns each-way at 100/1

Sam Burns, on offer at three-figure odds with some bookmakers, could also play a hand in the finish.

An elite putter, Burns thrives on Bermuda, with four of his five wins coming at courses predominantly featuring that grass type.

He must improve on a modest Majors record, but he was 13th at the Heritage, fifth at the Byron Nelson, and eight-under through three rounds of the Truist before a modest Sunday effort.

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