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Arouca vs FC Porto Predictions

  • 18:00
  • Expired
  • Estadio Municipal
FC Porto

FC Porto to Win and Over 2.5 Match Goals

10/11odds when tipped
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FC Porto 3-1

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Tip Reasoning

  • Porto have won their last seven away league matches, all with at least three goals scored.
  • Porto have won the last three meetings of the clubs 3-0, 4-0 and 3-0.
  • At least three goals have been scored in six of the last seven Arouca home league games.

Dragons won’t want to disappoint ahead of title showdown

Leaders Porto won’t want to drop points or show any sign of weakness when they travel to Arouca in the league game that precedes their crunch clash with second-placed Sporting Lisbon next week. Sergio Conceicao’s team have been machine-like since the 1-1 home draw with the champions back in September – winning 15 straight Primeira contests to open up a six-point gap at the top.

The Dragons faced Arouca a few days before that fixture too and ran out comfortable 3-0 winners with just a small indication that they were leaving a little in reserve coming from the fact that they didn’t enhance their advantage in the final 25 minutes. Conceicao would ideally want something similar to play out at the Estadio Municipal with Porto establishing an early lead and cruising to a comfortable three points, but you rarely get what you wish for in football.

Arouca brought in some fresh blood in January to bolster their survival bid and, although Wellington Nem, Nino Galovic and Alan Ruiz are yet to pull on the yellow shirt, their arrivals have given the rest a lift. Arouquenses earned their first win since November with a surprise 2-1 scoreline at seventh-placed Estoril before holding relegation rivals Famalicao to a 0-0 on Monday night.

Fresh faces can lift Arouca

The new signings are cleared to face Porto and could make this a more competitive contest than the oddsmakers currently expect. Joint-top scorer Oday Dabbagh is a doubt with a knee injury, but Arouca spread their goals around quite well so we can envisage a scenario where the hosts get on the scoresheet.

Porto have conceded in seven of their ten away league games this season, including matches against two of the three teams below Arouca in the table, so a Porto win and both teams scoring is a serious option here. However, the main selection is going to be Porto and over 2.5 goals as the stats are more closely aligned to that (80% of away games) than the Porto and BTTS option (50%).

A 3-1 result is favoured in correct score betting because the Dragons are on fire offensively at the moment, averaging 3.14 goals for and 0.72 goals against across their last seven road trips.

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