Aston Villa vs Burnley Predictions
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- Burnley have lost just one in their last five Premier League fixtures.
- Aston Villa have lost each of their last three games at Villa Park.
- Burnley have notched exactly one goal in three of their last four league games.
- The Clarets have conceded one or fewer goals in four of their last five league assignments.
Villa leave it late against Wolves
Aston Villa nicked three points from a Midlands Derby that could have gone either way last week, when Anwar El Ghazi’s injury time spot-kick earned the Villains a 1-0 triumph over Wolves at Molineux.
The win – which was only Villa’s second in six Premier League assignments – kept Dean Smith’s side hovering around the table’s mid-section, however, the Villains have a game in hand and all the sides current above them.
While Smith would have been thrilled with his team’s win over Wanderers, the regression in Villa’s output in the final third since October will be a concern, and The Lions have notched one or fewer goals in five of their last seven top-flight tests.
Burnley finding form
Following a dreadful start to the 2020/21 campaign, Burnley have finally started to find their feet of late, and much of their recent success has been carved out in typically dogged style.
The Clarets have now tasted defeat just once in five Premier League matches, and their return of four points from six in their most recent pair of games against Everton (1-1) and Arsenal (1-0) hinted that Sean Dyche’s men might be back to their nose bloodying best.
Burnley to avoid defeat
Burnley’s excellent recent results against Everton and Arsenal alongside an improving defensive record that saw them keep clean sheets in three of their last five games combine to make the Clarets worth backing in the double chance market for Thursday.
Villa – who have scored one or fewer times in five of their last seven games – have been struggling for final third fluency over the past two months, and a Burnley defence marshalled by Ben Mee and James Tarkowski could frustrate the hosts at Villa Park.
The Villains recent endeavours on home soil have also been underwhelming in terms of results, and having lost each of their last three games at Villa Park, Dean Smith’s men won’t be playing with a huge amount of confidence on Thursday.
With key players Matty Cash and Douglas Luiz also out suspended, Villa look even more fragile, and we expect Burnley to avoid defeat in the Midlands.
Despite their overall reduction in attacking threat, Villa have managed to maintain a decent record of scoring at Villa Park this term however, hitting the net in all but one of their Premier League matches there since the summer, and the hosts should be able to enhance that record again this week.
Burnley meanwhile plundered exactly one goal in three of their last four Premier League fixtures, and our 1-1 correct score prediction tips the Clarets to bag a single effort again.
Aston Villa injuries and team news
Douglas Luis and Matthew Cash are both suspended for Aston Villa, while Tom Heaton and Wesley are also out injured.
Dean Smith also has decisions to make about Bjorn Engels, Ross Barkley, Keinan Davis and Trezeguet, who are all nursing various ailments.
Burnley injuries and team news
Jack Cork has been ruled out for Burnley, though Johann Gudmundsson, Dale Stephens and Phil Bardsley will hope to be fit enough to make the squad.
Former Aston Villa pair Matthew Lowton and Ashley Westwood will hope to play against their former club.