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Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Published on 12:24pm GMT 23 February 2026

  • 17:45
  • 25
  • Stadio Atleti Azzurri dItalia
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
  • TNT Sports 1

Atalanta to Win

Reason for tip

Since Raffaele Palladino was appointed Atalanta head coach, La Dea have won 10 of their 12 home matches. That run continued with a 2-1 victory over Italian champions Napoli on Sunday. Atalanta have scored twice in their last six home games across all competitions, while Dortmund’s only away win in Europe this term came at FC Copenhagen.

11/10odds when tipped
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Atalanta 2-1

Reason for tip

Both teams have scored in three of Dortmund’s four Champions League trips this term, and the Bundesliga side will know a goal in this clash leaves Atalanta with a mountain to climb. The hosts won 2-1 in two of their three home League Phase matches, and they’ve picked up five home wins by that scoreline, including their previous two home games.

8/1odds when tipped
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Gianluca Scamacca To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Scamacca has scored in Atalanta’s last two home games in the Champions League, and the Italian forward has netted in each of his last three home starts for La Dea.

13/10odds when tipped
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Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

  • Atalanta have won 10 of 12 home games since Raffaele Palladino took charge
  • La Dea have scored twice in six straight home matches, and they’ve won four straight home games
  • Dortmund narrowly avoided defeat at the weekend, and they host Bayern Munich on Saturday

Atalanta can continue strong home form

Atalanta struggled to make an impact in last week’s 2-0 loss to Dortmund, but their fine home form can help them turn the tables on the Bundesliga side.

La Dea have really kicked on under Raffaele Palladino, and they’re in the mix for a return to Europe next season. They’ve won 10 of their 12 home matches since Palladino took charge in November, including a Champions League victory over Chelsea.

Sunday’s 2-1 win over Napoli was Atalanta’s fourth-straight home win, while they started the month with a 3-0 victory against Juventus.

Dortmund were fortunate to avoid defeat on Saturday, as they scored a 95th-minute equaliser in a 2-2 draw at RB Leipzig. They have the prospect of a clash with Bayern Munich to come this weekend, and the visitors would still progress even with a narrow defeat.

The visitors should struggle to contain an Atalanta side who have struck twice or more in their last six home games, so back Palladino’s side to claim a second-leg victory.

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