Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Predictions

• Atletico have won four of their last six matches against Sociedad.
• Atletico have won 12 of their 18 home games.
• Sociedad have lost eight of their 18 away games.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 61% of Atletico’s home games.

A point should be enough but Atletico will want a win to ensure a 3rd place finish

Atletico claimed a crucial 3pts in their hunt for a top-three finish as they won 2-0 away at Getafe on Thursday but can’t afford to lose on the final day of the season as Sevilla are just 2pts behind them in fourth. Real Sociedad did Atletico a huge favour by holding Sevilla to a goalless draw last time out and a win this weekend could see the visitors finish in the top-five.

When these two sides locked horns for their reverse league fixture in September second-half goals from Ødegaard and Monreal proved enough for Real Sociedad to claim all 3pts in front of their home faithful. However, Atletico Madrid head into the final game of the season as the clear form favourites having gone unbeaten in their last 15 matches and are the bookmakers’ favourites to win.

The visitors could slip to as low as 9th with a defeat on the final day of the season

Our prediction for a home win on Sunday is backed up by the recent head to head record between the two clubs, their form heading into Sunday’s clash and their performances at home and on the road this season. Atletico have won four of their last six matches against Real Sociedad, which includes their last three home games against the Basque club.

The hosts have won four and drawn two of their last six La Liga matches while Sociedad have picked up two wins, two draws and suffered two defeats during that same period. Atletico have only lost once at home this season, winning 12 of their 18 matches at the Estadio Wanda Metropolitano, while Real Sociedad have lost eight times on their travels.

We’re expecting a close, competitive and low-scoring match in Madrid

In terms of a final scoreline, we’re predicting a 2-0 win for Atletico as the hosts have a strong defensive record and games at the Estadio Wanda Metropolitano have rarely produced more than two goals this season. The hosts have kept clean sheets in 56% of their home matches and under 2.5 goals have been produced in 61% of those 18 home games. Atletico score an average of 1.50 goals per home game and only concede an average of 0.56 goals while Sociedad concede an average of 1.50 goals on the road, which ties in neatly with our prediction for a 2-0 home win this weekend.

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