Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Predictions
Published on 5:39pm GMT 11 April 2025
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Over 3.5 Match Goals
Reasoning
Reason for tip
Atletico Madrid scored a late winner at Sevilla last time out and they can build on that against bottom side Valladolid. The visitors have lost four straight games following a 4-0 loss to Getafe last time out and they’ve been awful against the league’s top sides. Atletico won 5-0 in the reverse fixture, while Valladolid have lost 7-0 at Barcelona, 7-1 at Athletic, and 5-1 at Villarreal.
Atletico Madrid 4-1
Reasoning
Reason for tip
The visitors have conceded 2.93 goals per game on their travels and they head to an Atletico side who have impressive attacking options. The hosts created 4.0 xG in the reverse meeting, but they’ve conceded in four straight La Liga games so back them for a 4-1 win.
Julian Alvarez To Score Anytime
Reasoning
Reason for tip
Alvarez has been fantastic in his first season in Spain, with his good form continuing with a goal at Sevila last weekend. He’s scored five times across his last six appearances for Atletico and he netted in their big win at Valladolid earlier this term.
Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Predictions
- Valladolid have conceded 22 goals in their four visits to the top five
- Atletico Madrid won 5-0 when these two sides met earlier this season
- The visitors were thumped 4-0 at home by Getafe last time out
Atletico can get their groove back
Atletico Madrid’s last-gasp winner at Sevilla last weekend could set them up for a strong finish to the campaign. Diego Simeone’s side went into that clash at a low-ebb following their Champions League exit and La Liga setbacks. However, they are back to winning ways and Monday night pits them against the league’s worst side.
Real Valladolid have just 16 points this term, leaving them 14 shy of safety with eight games left to play. The visitors have lost four on the bounce following a 4-0 hammering at home to Getafe last time out.
The visitors have an awful record against the league’s top teams, including a 5-0 hammering at home to Atletico Madrid earlier this term. Valladolid lost 7-0 at Barcelona earlier this term and they were thumped 7-1 at Athletic in February. They also lost 5-1 to fifth-placed Villarreal, so this trip doesn’t bode well for the visitors.
Athletic were good value for their win in the reverse meeting, generating 4.0 Expected Goals. They have the quality to put the visitors to the sword, but Atleti have seen both teams score in each of their last four league games. As a result, over 3.5 goals are backed here along with a 4-1 home win.
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