Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Predictions

  • 19:30
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  • WWK Arena
Bayern Munich
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Bayern Munich to Win and Over 3.5 Match Goals

5/6odds when tipped
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Bayern Munich 3-1

9/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Bayern Munich have averaged 3.64 goals per game in the Bundesliga this campaign, and have won 4 of 5 away games.
  • Only 3 of the champions’ first 11 league games have featured under 3.5 goals, while Bayern have already scored 4 or more 6 times in the league alone.
  • Augsburg have won just 2 matches this season, and according to expected goals figures, concede clearer chances than any other Bundesliga side.

Struggling Augsburg face Tough Bavarian Clash

It’s been a serene start to life as Bayern Munich boss for Julian Nagelsmann. The perennial Bundesliga winners emerge from the international break with 28 points, and a staggering 40 goals, from their first 11 games. Since losing to Eintracht Frankfurt in early October, Bayern have scored 4 or more goals on 5 occasions (against Bayer Leverkusen, Hoffenheim, Union Berlin and twice against Benfica), all stronger opponents than those they’ll face on Friday.

Augsburg boss Markus Weinzierl has come under increased pressure in recent weeks after watching his side win just 2 games this campaign, and 1 of their last 7. Augsburg’s 10-year run in the German top flight could be under genuine threat this season; their record of 20 goals conceded is the division’s third worst. What’s more, Augsburg cannot argue that their position is an unfortunate one by any means; they’ve posted the worst expected goals conceded figure of any Bundesliga team (22.29).

Bayern will thus be expecting to rack up yet another comfortable victory. With their Champions League group all but sewn up in dominant fashion, they have no reason to rotate, while the overwhelming majority of their internationals have been able to arrive back in Munich in good time, meaning they should be at full strength.

Free-Scoring Bayern Aren’t Impenetrable; Expect Goals

It can often be hard to find good value when backing Bayern in the Bundesliga. They have been irresistible of late, racking up huge wins over more accomplished opponents than Augsburg, but they have not exactly been impenetrable at the other end. In fact, the champions have yet to keep an away clean sheet in the Bundesliga. They’ve won 4 of 5 on the road, with all of those wins featuring over 3.5 goals.

As a result, I’m backing Bayern to win with over 3.5 goals on Friday night. With the likes of Robert Lewandowski, Leroy Sane and Thomas Muller in full flow, I expect the visitors to rack up another big win, with 4-1 Bayern offering decent value as a correct score prediction.

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