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AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur Leeuwarden Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • AFAS Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
Cambuur Leeuwarden

Tip Reasoning

AZ Alkmaar have been installed as favourites to win the KNVB Cup, after all of the big three suffered early exits. The competition seems wide open ahead of the semi-final, with second division side Cambuur making it in to the last four. The Yellow-Blues knocked out Ajax last year, which was one of the biggest shocks of the season. Can they follow that up by eliminating the new frontrunners for the trophy on Thursday night?

AZ have won this competition four times, the last of which came in 2013. That was their last trophy, but they have a fantastic chance to end their wait for silverware this season. They’re just two victories from winning this competition, and they’re heavy favourites to see off the second tier side in the semi-final. The Cheeseheads are 4/9 favourites with bet365 to claim a home victory. However, their record at the AFAS Stadion is questionable.

The hosts have won just 27% of their matches at the AFAS Stadion this season, which has left them fifth in the table. They recently conceded four goals in back to back home games against PSV Eindhoven and Lyon. The Eredivisie side have also won just one of their last five matches at this ground. Their poor results have been down to their defensive record; they’ve conceded 56% of their league goals this season at home. They concede 1.73 goals per game at home in the top flight, while they’ve managed a clean sheet in just 18% of their outings here. On top of that, they’ve conceded in eight straight matches in the league, which should leave them vulnerable even against a second tier side.

Cambuur had a very weak away record, losing six of their first seven away trips. Having lost just one of their last nine trips, including a penalty shoot-out victory at Utrecht after a 2-2 draw. They’ve now scored in 69% of their away league matches, hitting 13 goals in their 13 trips and scored in five of their last six away in the Eerste Divisie, and we’re backing them to score here. After all, the hosts have seen both teams score in 71% of their home league matches.

AZ have a strong record in matches between these two sides, winning five in a row at home to Cambuur. Those games have all seen over 2.5 goals, while the Cheeseheads have conceded in their last four matches at home to their next opponents. The hosts have seen over 2.5 goals in 64% of their matches at the AFAS Stadion. Meanwhile, 63% of the Yellow-Blues’ outings in the second tier have seen three or more scored. That’s why we’re backing over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, which is 10/11 with bet365.

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