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Barnsley vs Brighton Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

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  • Oakwell

Tip Reasoning

Brighton’s promotion push has shown some real cracks in recent weeks and there is potential for them to drop points here too with Barnsley enjoying a fine campaign.

The Tykes have coped admirably with the departures of several key players in January. Two of them left for Aston Villa so their 3-1 win at Villa Park in midweek would have tasted pretty sweet. The play-0ffs may still be just out of Barnsley’s reach but it’s worth remembering that this time last year they didn’t even look like they’d make the League One play-offs, so it has been a remarkable 12 months for the Yorkshire club.

They have the reputation as being an attacking team that is a bit fragile at the back but a 38% clean sheet ratio this season in the league shows they are a capable defensive outfit at times and they’ve only conceded 1 goal in their last 3 matches. At the other end Tom Bradshaw has really taken over the mantle from Sam Winnall, who joined Sheffield Wednesday last month, in terms of being their main goal threat. He bagged a brace in Birmingham on Tuesday to take his season tally to 7 and he appears now to be adapting to football at this level following a tough start. Backing Bradshaw to score anytime at 11/4 certainly looks to offer value here.

That’s especially true with Brighton having looked out of sorts at the back in recent weeks. They’ve gone 5 games without a clean sheet and haven’t shut the opposition out in any of their last 7 away games. Even more worryingly, they’ve conceded 3 times in each of their last 3 away games in all competitions and up against a Barnsley side that averages 1.69 goals per game at home, that could be a real issue.

By contrast Brighton have only netted 1.27 goals per game on their travels and they’ve not won any of their last 4 away games with slip-ups in the league coming at the likes of Brentford and Preston, two sides currently below Barnsley in the league.

Certainly Brighton look a little short at Evens given their recent troubles away from the Amex and given their opponents have only lost 4 of their last 21 games (inside 90 minutes). Therefore, backing Double Chance – Barnsley or Draw at 5/6 seems to offer value here.

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