Belgium vs Italy Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Previews

19:45
15
Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium

Italy

Both Teams To Score

Reasoning

Reason for tip

Italy’s last four matches have finished with both teams scoring, and they host a Belgian side that has scored in 16 of their last 18 internationals. These sides shared plenty of chances in their first meeting, generating 4.4 xG between them, so back more goals on Sunday.

4/7odds when tipped

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Draw 2-2

Reasoning

Reason for tip

A point would be enough for Italy to secure their place in the next round of the Nations League, and they’ve scored at least twice in three of their previous four. The Azzurri were able to generate 1.7 xG in their 2-0 home defeat to Belgium, and that game could have finished 2-2 with some improved finishing from the Italians.

11/1odds when tipped

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Both teams have scored in Italy’s last four matches
These two sides shared 4.46 Expected Goals in their meeting in September
There have been 15 goals scored in Italy’s last four Nations League matches

Sides face off with a knockout place on the line

With second-placed France hosting last-placed Turkiye in the other game in this Nations League group, it looks like there is only one spot in the knockouts left for these two to fight over.

Italy moved into first place with a 3-1 victory against France on Thursday, while Belgium stayed in contention thanks to a 2-1 win in Turkiye. The Red Devils are third on nine points, only one behind the top two.

While that could be a recipe for a cagey encounter, this group has been high-scoring so far. Italy’s five matches have featured a total of 17 goals. The Azzurri lost the reverse encounter 2-0, but they generated 1.7 Expected Goals to Belgium’s 2.76 in that defeat, so they were unfortunate not to get on the scoresheet.

Both teams have scored in each of the four matches Italy have played since, while the Red Devils have found the net in 16 of their previous 18 games. If either side falls behind, they’ll likely find themselves outside of the top two, so there’s plenty of motivation for both sides to get forward in this clash.