Braga vs Vitoria Setubal Predictions

• Braga have won 4 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.
• Vitoria Setubal have lost 3 of their last 6 matches in the Primeira Liga.
• Braga have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Vitoria Setubal.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 3 of the pairs’ last 4 encounters.

Braga are in fine form and will be confident of securing all 3pts this weekend

Braga lost 3-2 in the 1st leg of their Europa League tie against Rangers on Thursday evening but beat Benfica away 1-0 last time out in the Primeira Liga, while Vitoria Setubal lost last weekend 2-1 at home to newly-promoted Gil Vicente. The gap between these two clubs stands at 11pts heading into Sunday’s clash and the form guide favours a Braga victory as Setubal are without a win in their last three outings.

The hosts have won four of their last six matches in league and cup but it will be interesting to see how Braga react to the defeat in Scotland on Thursday, as that brought an end to their 10-game unbeaten run in all competitions. Braga will be confident of returning to winning ways this weekend as they have won five of their last six encounters with Setubal, with three of their last four meetings producing under 2.5 goals, so you can see why we have backed a narrow home win on Sunday.

Braga have won five of their ten home games so far this season while Setubal have lost four times on the road, with the hosts averaging 1.80 points per home game and the visitors averaging just 1.20 points per away game. Sunday’s hosts score an average of 1.60 goals per home game while Setubal score an average of just 0.90 goals per away game, which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 2-0 in favour of Braga.

Setubal have failed to score in 50% of their league games on the road

60% of Setubals’ away trips have produced under 2.5 goals and only 30% have seen both teams score, which adds further weight to our prediction of a Braga win with fewer than 3-goals scored. The hosts have kept clean sheets in 30% of their home matches and have only failed to score in 20%, while Setubal have failed to score in half of their away games so far this season.

Exactly 2-goals have been scored in 20% of Braga’s home games and 20% of Setubal’s matches on the road this season, with a majority of the visitors’ defeats this season (4) being via a margin of 2 goals or more and five of Braga’s victories also being by a margin of 2-goals or more, which ties in perfectly with our prediction for a 2-0 home win on Sunday.

We’re confident that Braga will win and under 2.5 goals will be scored in the process and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-0. Braga are the form favourites, have the home advantage, and boast an excellent recent record against their guests, with the only aspect in the visitors’ favour being the limited time the Braga players will have had to prepare for Sunday’s clash.