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Burnley vs Brentford Predictions

Published on 3:00pm GMT 16 March 2024

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Burnley
Brentford

Brentford to Win

Reason for tip

Burnley have lost 11 of 14 home Premier League games this season, including four of seven against bottom-half clubs. Since beating Wolves at Molineux, Brentford have lost narrowly on the road to Man City and Arsenal and can come out on top against a struggling Clarets side.

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Brentford 2-0

Reason for tip

Burnley have failed to score in four of their last six games at Turf Moor and every bottom-half team they have faced at home have scored at least two goals against them – bar Sheffield United. Brentford, meanwhile, have won two of their five away games against lower-half opponents both by scores of 2-0.

 

 

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Burnley vs Brentford Predictions

  • Burnley have lost 11 of 14 home Premier League games this season
  • Since beating Wolves away, Brentford have lost narrowly on the road to Man City and Arsenal
  • Burnley have failed to score in four of their last six games at Turf Moor

Bees catch a break after tough tests

After a tough run of fixtures, Brentford can take a big step towards securing their survival when they travel to Turf Moor to take on Burnley on Saturday afternoon.

The 15th-placed Bees have not played a team below them in the Premier League table this year and have faced four of the current top five in their last seven games.

Thomas Frank’s men gave a good account of themselves at the Emirates Stadium last weekend, pushing Arsenal all the way and having legitimate complaints about the officiating after Kai Havertz scored the late winner.

That result came on the back of a 2-2 draw at home to Chelsea which they could easily have won with a bit more luck.

Kompany unable to turn the tide

Brentford’s recent performances are a cut above those of Burnley, who have taken just three points from the last 30 on offer. Vincent Kompany’s side did claim a 2-2 draw at West Ham last weekend, but that result owed much to the Hammers’ sloppy play.

David Fofana put the Clarets a goal up with a stunning strike after Kalvin Phillips had pulled out of a challenge and Burnley went into the break 2-0 up after an own goal. But comical defending allowed West Ham to pull one back within 30 seconds of the restart and they eventually succumbed to the home side’s pressure for an equaliser.

Yet again, Vincent Kompany was unable to stem the tide when it had turned against his side — who once more conceded a crucial goal in stoppage time. Burnley have also seen sides score late revelers or winners after 90 minutes against Luton and Aston Villa since Christmas.

Brentford may be in a false position

You could argue that Brentford, who look set to have Brian Mbuemo available again after injury, have suffered from a similar issue in their last two games, but the calibre of opponent has been far superior.

The Bees have won two, drawn one and lost two of their five away league games against bottom-half clubs.

They could be in a slightly false position given they have faced nine of the current top-10 on the road already and only five of the bottom half. And with Ivan Toney in good form and defenders like Nathan Collins starting to regain confidence, the Bees should leave Turf Moor with all three points this weekend.

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