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Burnley vs Leeds Predictions

Published on 11:14am GMT 14 October 2025

  • 14:00
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Burnley
Leeds

Burnley to Win

Reason for tip

Leeds have made the better start to the season but Burnley will see this as a winnable game and with home advantage they can grind out a victory. The Clarets have four points to show from their three home games, while Leeds have lost two of their three trips. Burnley had the better of the meetings in the second tier last season with four points from the two meetings, and they can win as underdogs on Saturday.

23/10odds when tipped
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Burnley 1-0

Reason for tip

Burnley have only scored seven goals in as many Premier League games but one goal could be enough. Leeds have drawn blanks in two of their three road games in the league and failed to score in both meetings with Burnley last time, so take a chance on a 1-0 home win.

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Jaidon Anthony To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Jaidon Anthony should be available for Burnley despite taking a knock in the defeat to Aston Villa earlier this month and if he does start he looks the most likely scorer, having scored four of his side’s seven Premier League goals so far.

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Burnley vs Leeds Predictions

  • Burnley have four points from three home games.
  • Leeds have lost two of their three trips.
  • The Clarets picked up four points from two meetings between these sides in the Championship last season.

Promoted pair clash at Turf Moor

Leeds and Burnley claimed the automatic promotion spots in the Championship last season and the goal for both sides is avoiding an immediate return to the second tier.

Leeds have made a solid start with eight points on the board after seven games, while the Clarets have found the adjustment to life back in the Premier League tough with just four points from their opening seven fixtures.

Burnley’s defence was their main strength last season as they shipped just 16 goals in 38 Championship games. They haven’t been able to replicate that this term, however, with 15 goals conceded in just seven league outings.

Leeds come into the game as favourites but home advantage gives Burnley a chance, and they may be able to pull off a minor upset this weekend.

Home results key for Burnley

All four of Burnley’s points so far this season have come on home soil and if they are to stand a realistic chance of avoiding the drop they need to make the most of their games art Turf Moor.

The Clarets beat the other promoted side, Sunderland, in Lancashire earlier in the season and they may be able to follow that up with three points against Leeds.

Burnley’s defence has struggled but their issues in that regard have come on the road. They’ve only shipped two goals across their three home games, and they managed to limit champions Liverpool to just one goal in a defeat here in September.

Leeds won 3-1 at Wolves in their last road game but on the balance of play they were perhaps lucky as Wolves posted at xG of 1.49 to Leeds’ 0.49 and managed 16 shots in total to the the Yorkshire outfit’s six.

Burnley had the better of the meetings between these sides last season with a 1-0 win at Elland Road and a bore draw at Turf Moor, and they can breathe some life into their survival chances with a victory on Saturday.

Goals could be in short supply

Burnley managed clean sheets in both meetings with Leeds last season and they may need a shut-out to pick up maximum points this weekend.

Scott Parker’s side have only scored seven goals in as many Premier League games but one goal could be enough and a 1-0 win for Burnley is the correct score prediction, as Leeds have failed to score in two of their three away games.

The hosts may be without first choice striker Lyle Foster after he picked up an injury on international duty but Jaidon Anthony should be available despite taking a knock in the defeat to Aston Villa earlier this month.

Anthony is the Clarets’ top scorer this season with four Premier League goals to his name and he looks the best option for an anytime effort when Leeds visit Turf Moor.

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