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Charlton vs Scunthorpe Predictions

Published on 2:00pm GMT 22 April 2019

  • 14:00
  • Expired
  • The Valley
Charlton
Scunthorpe

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Charlton vs Scunthorpe Predictions

Charlton were beaten at the weekend – their first defeat over two months – but they remain in a very healthy league position. Moreover, their performance wasn’t exactly a poor one, despite the result, so Lee Bowyer’s men ought to go into Monday’s game feeling confident.

Losing after beating the league leaders wasn’t part of the plan, though the Addicks were far from outclassed away at Kassam Stadium on Friday afternoon. Going forward, they offered plenty, as an expected-goals for figures of 2.19 suggests. A repeat of that effort against a lesser Scunthorpe side ought to see Charlton regain the winning thread.

In terms of what they’ve achieved on home soil this season, it’s very tough to criticise Charlton. The Addicks, who’ve won each of their last four at The Valley, have been hard to beat, while they’ve often made light work of creating more than their opponents, as an average expected goal difference of +0.68 suggests. Lee Bowyer’s men haven’t lost in front of a home crowd since early October, which means that they’re currently on an unbeaten run of 15 on their own patch. They’ve won 11 of those 15, scoring at least twice in nine.

While Charlton have been very, very good at home, both of late and overall this season, Scunthorpe have struggled on their travels. The Iron are without a win in six on their travels, five of which they’ve lost. During that time, they’ve been beaten by sides such as Rochdale, Oxford and Gillingham, so a side of Charlton’s quality ought to do well on Monday.

Suffering defeat on the road has been a habit of Scunthorpe’s for a while, as has conceding goals. The Iron have conceded in each of their last six travelling matches, conceding at least twice in four of those. They’ve also shipped a rather unflattering average of 1.61 expected goals on the road this season. Interestingly, Charlton have conceded an average of just 0.98 at home.

Failing to keep teams out on their travels has blighted Scunthorpe this season, though they’ve also had significant problems at the other end of proceedings. Monday’s visitors have scored in each of their last two away matches, but they’ve rarely scored more than once on their travels, while they average a rather weak 0.95 goals for away from home. An average of 0.88 expected goals for suggests that they’ve certainly not been unlucky in that respect either.

When we consider the home performances of Charlton in conjunction with Scunthorpe’s away performances this season, ‘Charlton to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’ stands out as a viable option. Not only have the Addicks offered considerably more going forward at home than Scunthorpe have on the road, but they’ve also offered a lot more defensive resistance, while they’re much better at creating more than they concede in terms of chances.

Quite simply, Charlton could hardly have asked for a better opportunity to get over their Good Friday defeat, and they’re backed to do just that by recording a comfortable victory.

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