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Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

  • 17:00
  • Expired
  • RCDE Stadium
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano

Espanyol to Win and Over 1.5 Match Goals

5/2odds when tipped

Espanyol 2-1

10/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Espanyol have won six of their last ten home La Liga fixtures, including each of their last three.
  • Rayo Vallecano have lost nine of their last 11 away league games.
  • Rayo Vallecano have conceded at least two goals in eight of their last ten away games.

Espanyol have appeal based on home form

The form lines of the two clubs clashing at RCDE Stadium on Thursday make it look like this should be a fairly straightforward win for Espanyol over Rayo Vallecano.

The Parakeets are one of the better home teams from the mid-ranking group of clubs that can still just about harbour hopes of a Europa Conference League place next season. Vicente Moreno’s side have won six and drawn two of their last ten on home soil while producing victories with clean sheets in each of their last three.

Vallecano’s away form is about as bad as their hosts’ and it would seem crazy to expect anything other than the three points staying in Catalunya here. Additionally, the visitors will not be at full strength with Radamel Falcao, Martin Merquelanz and Esteban Saveljich dealing with injuries.

Parakeets can exploit ropey Rayo defence

Ivan Balliu is suspended for Rayo after receiving his marching orders in their weekend defeat to rock bottom Alaves, leading to a reshaped backline that is ripe for exploitation by Espanyol’s attack. The Parakeets are more or less at full strength with key midfielder Yangel Herrera back from suspension.

Given all that, the match odds of around 11/8 on Espanyol look very backable – although we believe better can be had by supporting the hosts to get more than one goal on the night. Although RCDE have scored multiple goals in only four of their last ten home games, their opponents regularly concede two or more goals.

Rayo Vallecano do have a respectable xG of 1.37 away from home and, having scored in five of their last ten away games, there’s a chance they can find one here in a 2-1 away defeat.

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