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Everton vs Aston Villa Predictions

England Premier League | Goodison Park | 16th July
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KO 18:00
Aston Villa badge
Aston Villa
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Everton vs Aston Villa predictions for Thursday’s Premier League tussle at Goodison Park. Everton put their 10-match unbeaten run at home on the line against Villa. Read on for all our free Premier League predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Everton to Win @ 11/10

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Everton 2-1 @ 9/1

Reason For Everton vs Aston Villa Predictions

  • Aston Villa won just two of their 17 Premier League away games this season.
  • Everton are unbeaten in ten Premier League matches at Goodison Park.
  • Aston Villa conceded exactly two goals in three of their last four away defeats.
  • Both teams scored in five of Everton’s last six Premier League home assignments.

Everton targeting more home success

Everton’s limp performance in their 3-0 reverse at Wolves on Sunday had all the hallmarks of a team with little left to play for this season, though tough Italian taskmaster Carlo Ancelotti won’t accept a similarly lifeless display against Aston Villa on Thursday.

While the Blues continue to flounder away from Merseyside, they have found plenty of joy at home this season, and ahead of their last test at Goodison Park against the Villains, Everton hold an impressive 10-match unbeaten streak on their own patch.

During that period, top half outfits Chelsea, Arsenal, Man Utd, Liverpool and Leicester were all left disappointed following trips to play Everton, and Ancelotti will be keen for his team to maintain their high standards at home in the final weeks of the campaign.

Villa secure lifeline

Aston Villa meanwhile, finally ended their 10-game search for a Premier League victory with a potentially pivotal 2-0 win over Crystal Palace at Villa Park on Sunday.

Inspired by a double strike from Trézéguet, the Villains carved out a win against the Eagles to reignite their fading survival hopes, however, with just three games left to contest, Villa must keep winning to overcome the four-point gap between them and safety.

Unfortunately for Dean Smith’s charges, two of Villa’s remaining three fixtures are on the road, where the big spending promotees have struggled badly all season. Aston Villa’s dismal nine-point haul from 17 away assignments since August is the league’s second worst total this term, and it’s a record they could struggle to improve on Thursday.

Back Everton to win

With the chastening experience at Molineux still fresh in their minds and the stinging criticism from their manager still ringing in their ears, Everton’s players will be determined to restore some pride at home to Aston Villa this week.

The Toffees’ 10-game unbeaten streak at Goodison Park highlights what a formidable outfit they are at home, and while Villa need the points far more than their hosts on Thursday, their desperate desire for a result should add a significant amount of pressure to their shoulders.

In total, Everton were toppled just once in their last 13 top-flight tussles at home since mid-October last year, and Villa’s run of seven defeats, two draws and just one win from their last 10 fixtures as the visiting team points to a fragility that the Blues can exploit.

With those factors considered and at the prices available, Everton look excellent value to win on Thursday, while our correct score prediction forecasts a 2-1 Toffees triumph.

While Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison form a deadly double act up front, Everton’s goal-getting return at Goodison Park, where they have averaged just 1.4 goals per 90 minutes in their last 10 games, remains modest.

In addition, Villa conceded exactly two goals in three of their last four away defeats, while Everton conceded exactly once in four of their last five Premier League matches at home. Combining the two, a 2-1 final score looks a likely outcome.

Key Battle: Richarlison vs Tyrone Mings

After a string of abject performances, Villa defender Tyrone Mings’ reputation has taken a bit of a battering since the restart, and the 27-year old’s defensive acumen should be given another stern test by Richarlison this week.

The dynamic Brazilian forward found the net in each of Everton’s last two run outs at Goodison Park, and with a total haul of 12 Premier League goals for the season, the 23-year-old is the Blues’ second highest scorer behind striker partner Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Richarlison is averaging a goal every 198 minutes in Everton’s home games this term, compared to his  ratio of one goal every 294 minutes on the road, and the versatile attacker’s habit of notching on Merseyside makes him one to watch again this week.

Everton vs Aston Villa team news

Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Cenk Tosun and Fabian Delph are joined in the treatment room by Yerry Mina this week, though Carlo Ancelotti will hope to have Mason Holgate and Andre Gomes available again.

Anthony Gordon, who has shown promise in recent weeks, should play from the left again ahead of Bernard, while Alex Iwobi should start on the opposite flank.

Everton predicted team: Pickford – Sidibe, Holgate, Keane, Digne – Davies, Gomes, Iwobi, Gordon – Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin

Tom Heaton, Wesley and Bjorn Engels are all still sidelined for Villa, while Neil Taylor and Kortney Hause are also rated as doubtful.

Conor Hourihane should keep his place after a good display in midfield against Palace, while Keinan Davis could be give another shot at the centre forward role after Mbwana Samatta’s unimpressive showing against the Eagles

Aston Villa predicted line-up: Reina – Guilbert, Konsa, Mings, Targett – McGinn, Luiz, Hourihane – Trezeguet, Grealish, Davis

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