Luxembourg vs Iceland Predictions

• Luxembourg have won four of their five matches in 2026
• Iceland lost 3-1 in a visit to Luxembourg in Euro 2024 qualifying
• The visitors have lost nine of their last 16 competitive games

In-form Luxembourg can beat struggling Iceland

After finishing 2025 with a run of eight defeats in nine, things have turned around for Luxembourg in 2026. They’ve won four of their five matches this year, pushing Italy close in a 1-0 defeat in the other.

Luxembourg have been on the rise in recent years. They claimed an eye-catching five wins in qualifying for Euro 2024, including a 3-1 victory at home to Iceland, and their World Cup qualifying campaign wasn’t as bad as results suggest.

Luxembourg finished bottom of their pool, but their underlying data suggested they were more than a match for Slovakia and Northern Ireland. They followed that up with a 5-0 aggregate win over Malta in March, while they beat Albania away from home in June.

Their latest Nations League campaign started with a well-deserved 2-1 win in Bulgaria, and now they are aiming to make it two wins from two.

Iceland are winless in seven matches, following a home draw with Estonia on Saturday. The visitors had lost four of their last five matches heading into that game, while they dropped into the third tier of the Nations League following home and away defeats to Kosovo in March last year. They’ve lost nine of their last 16 competitive matches, making Luxembourg appealing outsiders.