FC Porto vs Pacos Ferreira Predictions

• Porto have led at half-time and FT in four of their five home Primeira Liga games this season.
• Pacos Ferreira have conceded before the 30-minute mark in their last two games.
• At least four goals have been scored in four of the last nine meetings between the clubs – during which there has been an average of  3.6 goals per game.

Beavers set to suffer in Dragons’ den 

Porto have rediscovered their best form and should see off basement club Pacos Ferreira with ease when the two meet in the Primeira Liga on Saturday.  The Dragons secured top spot in their Champions League group with a home win over Atletico Madrid on Tuesday – a remarkable turnaround after they had lost their first two European games.

Mehdi Taremi led the way for Sergio Conceicao’s men in midweek and the Iranian should be well up for the scrap with the Beavers after he was sent off against them in the corresponding fixture last season. Porto have won 17 and drawn two of their last 19 home games against this opponent and they have outscored Pacos 54-11 during those contests.

Averaging around three goals per game across that span suggests there could be some value in taking Porto to win with a few strikes in the game, but you have to push it out to over 3.5 goals to find an odds-against price. New boss Jose Mota has attempted to make Pacos Ferreira harder to beat, but they don’t look like a team capable of holding Porto at bay for too long.

Hosts can head into half-time with a lead

They conceded after 20 minutes in a 2-1 away loss to Famalicao and the only goal of their most recent display -in a 1-0 home defeat to fellow strugglers Maritimo – also came before the half-hour mark. That suggests backing the Dragons to lead at half-tiem and full-time should have legs.

Porto have been ahead at the break and followed through by taking all three points in four of their five home league games this season with the only outlier being when they were reduced to ten men after 27 minutes against Benfica. The Beavers have been behind at the break in two of their last four away league games too.

A 3-0 correct score prediction is ventured here as, although the visitors have not shipped more than two goals in any of their last three away games, Porto are a class above any of their recent opponents and another early deficit could lead to a more decisive defeat.

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