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FC Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Predictions

  • 19:15
  • Expired
  • Estadio Do Dragao
FC Porto
Sporting Lisbon

Both Teams To Score

17/20odds when tipped
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FC Porto 2-1

8/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Both teams have scored in five of the last six head-to-head meetings between these clubs.
  • Porto have scored and conceded in seven of their last ten Portuguese Cup ties.
  • Mehdi Taremi has scored eight goals in his last ten games and in the last two meetings with Sporting this season.

Porto’s position means they don’t need to win second leg

Already 2-1 from the first leg in Lisbon, Porto are in a strong position as they aim to protect their proud unbeaten domestic record to secure passage to the Portuguese Cup Final on Thursday. Sergio Conceicao’s men warmed up for this decisive second leg by thrashing Portimonense 7-0 at the weekend to demonstrate their superiority in the league and anything but defeat here would be a huge step towards clinching the double.

As witnessed in the Champions League quarter-finals recently, it’s best to use caution when backing fancied teams that don’t need to win to go through in cups. Porto could approach this with a ‘must not lose’ mentality that sees them shut up shop and focus on frustrating the Lions.

Sporting’s approach to this game will depend on how Ruben Amorim plays it tactically and when he elects to open the game up by risking more into attack. His side’s collapse from 2-0 up to draw in the tempestuous Primeira Liga clash at the Dragao in February will still haunt the coach and he may decide that striking too early in the game could be to Sporting’s detriment.

Both teams to score lands regularly when these rivals meet

So there is a trappy feel to the match result markets in this where the value could be about the draw. However, both teams to score appears more of a certainty given it has landed in five of the last six head-to-head meetings between these clubs.

Porto have scored and conceded in seven of their last ten Portuguese Cup ties, which may or not be relevant because of the two-legged nature of this clash, but BTTS did land in both legs of their semi-final against Braga last season.

We fancy the hosts to just come though this test by another 2-1 scoreline while anytime goalscorer pick Mehdi Taremi grabbed a hat-trick at the weekend to take his season’s tally to 22 in all competitions – eight of which have come in his last ten appearances.


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