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Fiorentina vs Spezia Predictions

Published on 12:30pm GMT 8 April 2023

  • 12:30
  • Expired
  • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
Spezia

Fiorentina To Win To Nil

Reason for tip

Fiorentina have won nine games in a row, keeping five clean sheets in their last six, while only four teams have conceded fewer goals than the Viola in Serie A this campaign. Spezia, meanwhile, have one win in their last 11 games, and have been shut out in six of their last 10.

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Fiorentina 2-0

Reason for tip

Spezia have shipped multiple goals in seven of their last 11 games, allowing three of their five opponents since Leonardo Semplici took charge to create over 2.0 expected goals against them. Fiorentina beat Spezia 2-1 in the return fixture earlier this season, and we expect them to be more comfortable on home soil.

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Fiorentina vs Spezia Predictions

  • Fiorentina have won nine games in a row across all competitions, going unbeaten in their last 11.
  • The Viola have won five of their last six matches to nil.
  • Spezia, meanwhile, have only won one of their last 11 matches.
  • The visitors have failed to score in six of their last 10 games.

Viola on a roll following Coppa win

Fiorentina put one foot in the Coppa Italia final on Wednesday, claiming a 2-0 victory at Cremonese to continue their excellent run of form. Vincenzo Italiano’s side are unbeaten in their last 11 across all competitions, winning their last nine in a row. They are not yet out of the race for a top-seven finish, and will be confident of victory when they host struggling Spezia in their next Serie A fixture on Saturday.

The Viola have relied on an excellent defensive record of late, winning five of their last six matches to nil, while both Milan clubs have found themselves on the receiving end of upsets against Italiano’s men. Despite Fiorentina enduring an underwhelming first half of the campaign, only four sides – all of whom harbour Champions League hopes – have conceded fewer than their 31 goals against in Serie A this season. Given Spezia’s poor form, the hosts will be confident of another solid display next time out.

Spezia remain in danger of relegation following a run of one victory in their last 11 games, though they were perhaps unfortunate to only take a point in their draw with Salernitana last time out. While Leonardo Semplici has only overseen one defeat in five games since taking charge in February, three of those contests have ended level, and it’s easy to see why, given their offensive shortcomings. Spezia have failed to score in six of their last 10, and they could be frustrated again here.

Fiorentina to remain untroubled

Given Fiorentina’s excellent form and Spezia’s troubles in front of goal, backing the hosts to win to nil appears an excellent play for Saturday’s game, ensuring additional value for those looking to keep the favourites onside.

Meanwhile, Spezia have conceded multiple goals in seven of their last 11 matches, allowing three of their five opponents under Semplici to create over 2.0 expected goals. With that in mind, 2-0 to the hosts could represent a solid correct score prediction.


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